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GAS ADJUSTMENTS EFFECTIVE APRIL 1, 2006 ~ CLEARWA TER GAS SYSTEM Interoffice Correspondence Sheet FROM: William B. Horne II, City Manager \ Chuck Warrington, Managing Director f#! TO: COPIES: Rod Irwin, Assistant City Manager; Cyndie Goudeau, City Clerk; CGS & CCS Management Teams; Janet Dorrough, Sr. Accountant/CGS; Tom Madley, Sr. Accountant/CCS; Laura Damico, Sr. Accountant/CCS SUBJECT: GAS ADJUSTMENTS EFFECTIVE APRIL 1, 2006 DATE: March 14, 2006 Even though the gas markets remain very high historically, they have begun to stabilize and lower somewhat. Therefore, we are recommending a decrease of 12(:/therm in our Natural Gas Purchased Gas Adjustments (PGA) and a decrease of 15(:/gallon in our Propane (LP) PGA. Unfortunately, we are still running behind on our Energy Conservation Adjustment (ECAI. Therefore, we are recommending an increase of 1 (:/therm or gallon in our ECA. We are not recommending any change in our Environmental Imposition Adjustment (EIA) at this time, and we still are not recommending implementing our Weather Normalization Adjustment (WNA) clause. The net effect of these recommended changes is a decrease in our typical Residential Natural Gas customer's rate of 11 C/therm (down 5.0%) and a decrease in our typical Residential LP customer's rate of 14C/gallon (down 5.7%). Therefore, we are recommending your approval of the following rates to become effective for billings rendered on and after April 1, 2006: Natural Gas Firm Standard Rate Schedule PGA ....... $1.35 per therm (down 12(:/therm) Natural Gas Interruptible and Contract (Non-Standard) Rate Schedule PGA ............. $1.27 per therm (down 12(:/therm) Propane (LP) Gas Rate Schedule PGA .................... $1.24 per gallon (down 15(:/gallon) Energy Conservation Adjustment (ECA) ............... $0.17 per therm or gallon (up 1 (:/therm or gallon) Environmental Imposition Adjustment (EIA) ......... $0.01 per therm or gallon (no change) Weather Normalization Adjustment (WNA) .......... $0.00 per therm or gallon (no change) .., William B. Horne II, City Manager Page 2 March 14, 2006 Attachment #1 shows the status of our Adjustment Recovery Clause balances with actuals thru February and projections thru Period 13. These show that we are currently $2.4 Million behind on our collections but are projecting recovering this by the end of the fiscal year. It is important to our overall financials for FY 05/06 that we bring this closer to balance by Fiscal Year End. Attachments #2 and #3 show our current annual projections for Natural Gas and LP supply costs, respectively. Attachments #4 and #5 show the impact of these adjustment clause changes on our overall Natural and LP Gas rates, respectively. Attachment #6 shows our rate history over the past 5 years and shows our relationship to electric prices. I should point out that the overall effect is that our tvpical Residential customer rates are now 39% lower than electric for Natural Gas and 27% lower for lP. These margins have increase significantly since Progress Energy Florida implemented a sizeable increase in their Fuel Adjustment charges in January. It is our plan to use the above-proposed adjustments for billings through September 30, 2006, unless there is a significant change in our forecasts or we project a significant over/under recovery of our adjustment clauses. We will continue to track these balances monthly, make monthly projections of these factors based on market conditions, and let you know if any of these get significantly out of balance. Bill, I would appreciate your approval of these revised adjustment rates so we can get this information to CCS in order to make the appropriate adjustments in the billing formulas in time for the April 1 st billings. If you have any questions on this, please call me. CSW /csw Attachments Approved: ~~~-=a: William B. Horne II, City Manager U:\My Oocuments\MSOFFICE\WINWORO\GASRATES\Gas Adjustments for April 2006.doc .. ..... M -- .. 0 c CD E CD ~ CI 0:' ! ::Ii w ?- m >- m m e( CI a: w l- e( ~ ~ ...J o ~ ~[I~~~~.I;~~~. ,~~ ~ ~ ~ T"" T"", ;i T"" ~ 'I""'" _. ...... 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" N ~ 12 ,fTlIfCN'AlE/Jr P...,1 Propane Weighted Average Cost of Gas (WACOG) FY 2005-06 3/13/2006 I comD.nvl' Gallons PrDpane Propane Shipping Total FYTD Cost of Tank Tank WACOG Date Invoice 1# Delivered Rate Cost Cost Cost Gallons Inventorv Inventorv WllIIdrawl I 09130105 '~ S 48,177.71 48,762 0.98801 10105105 5ea-3 14005-0626 I 38,633 1.29360 I $ 49,016.39 I $ 959,08 I $ 49,975,47 I 38,633,0 I S 98153.18 87,395 1.12310 10117/05 Sea-3 14005-0863 I 19,522 1.29347 I $ 24,788.93 I $ 4lI2.19 I $ 25,251.12 I 58,155.0 I S 123,404.30 106,917 1,15420 10131105 nv adjustment I 502 I - 1$ . 1$ . $ - I 58,155.0 I $ 123404.30 107419 1.14881 10131105 End of monlll S ",158.72 74.998 32,421 1.14881 11117105 5ea.:! I I 19,200 I 1.24447 I $ 23,442.62 I $ 451.20 $ 23,893.82 I n,355.0 I $ 110,052.54 94,198 1.16831 11130/05 Inv adjustment 1 1861 1.39522 1 $ 259.51 I $ - $ 259.51 I 77,355.0 I $ 110312.05 94,384 1.16876 11130105 End of month $ 53,791.05 48,024 48,360 1.16876 12I04I05 5....3 14005-0989 I 38 599 I 1.113241 $ 42,075.61 I $ 894.51 $ 42,970.12 I 115,954.0 I $ 96,781.17 84,623 1.14344 12120105 Sea-3 14005-1043 I 29,541 I 1.20087 I $ 34,789.55 I $ 885.35 I $ 35,474.90 I 145,495.0 I $ 132,236.07 114,164 1.15830 12131105 inv adiustment I 631 0.36000 I $ 29.88 I $ - $ 29.881 145,495.0 I $ 132,265.95 114.247 1.15772 12131105 End of month $ 57,078." 49,301 84,946 1.15772 01110106 5ea-3 14006-0027 I 46,899 I 1.163n I $ 55,772.73 I $ 1 134.45 I $ 56,907.18 I 194,394.0 $ 113,984.04 98,200 1.16073 01/31106 inv adiustment I 1351 - 1$ - 1$ . 1$ - I 194,394.0 $ 113,984.04 98,335 1.15914 01131106 End of monlll S 65,092.7. 58,158 42,179 1,15914 D2I09106 Sea-3 14006-0120 19,606 1.08157 $ 20,748.44 $ 456.62 $ 21,205.26 214,000.0 $ 86,298.04 75,762 1.13906 02113/06 Sea-3 I 19419 1.57934 $ 30,216.78 $ 452.46 S 30,669.24 233,419.0 $ 116,967.28 95, 181 1.22889 02/21106 Sea-3 [4006-0186 9.918 0.10695 $ 629.68 $ 231.09 $ 1,080.77 243,337.0 $ 118028.05 105,099 1.12302 02/28106 inv adiustment 311 - $ - $ . $ - 243,3370 $ 118,028.05 105,410 1.11970 02/28/06 End of monlll ',<<:" ~ '5; S 66,641.56 59,517 45,893 1.11970 I I I I I I FYTD Totals 243 337 1.18111 281 661 $ 5,747.15 I 287,408 Propane FY 2006 Projections Projected WACOG Jan-06 1.115 Feb-06 0.9550 1.0650 49,000 $ 52,185.00 Mar-06 0.9000 1.0100 54,000 $ 54,540.00 1.080 Apr-06 0.9050 1.0050 40,000 $ 40,200.00 1.065 May-06 0.9165 1.0165 36,000 $ 36,594.00 1.057 Jun-06 0.9100 1.0100 30,000 $ 30,300.00 1.052 Jul-06 0.9100 1.0100 27,000 $ 27,270.00 1.048 Aug-06 0.9100 1.0100 20,000 $ 20,200.00 1.046 Sep-06 0.9250 1.0250 27,000 $ 27,675.00 1.044 ~ ... 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I I I I I I I I I 1/'"t~/J1.- Residential Rate History By Components u Clearwater Gas System --- I I I I --- Total Rate I ComnonentslTherm Contract LP Month NG/therm LP/aallon * ECA EIA WNA PGA PGA PGA/aallon -.. $ 0.100 ~.~~.- Oct-04 $ 1.710 $ 2.030 $ - $ - $1.030 $ 0.960 $ 1.130 Nov~04 $ 1.710 $ 2.030 $ 0.100 $ - $ - $1.030 $ 0.960 $ 1.130 Dec-04 $ $ .. --~ --. $ 0.100 $ $ $1.070 $ $ "---. 1.750 2.090 - - 1.000 1.190 Jan-05 $ 1.750 $ 2.090 $ 0.100 $ - $ - $ 1.070 $ 1.000 $ 1.190 Feb-05 $ 1.830 $ 2.150 $ 0.130 $ - $ 0.010 $1.110 $ 1.040 $ 1.210 Mar-OS $ 1.860 $ 2.180 $ 0.130 $ 0.020 $ 0.020 $1.110 $ 1.040 $ 1.2~.Q. Apr -05 $ 1.860 $ 2.280 $ 0.130 $ 0.020 $ 0.020 $1.110 $ 1.040 $ 1.210 May-OS $ 1.790 $ 2.190 $ 0.130 $ 0.020 $ - $1.060 $ 0.990 $ 1.140 Jun-05 $ 1.790 $ 2.190 $ 0.130 $ 0.020 $ - $1.060 $ 0.990 $ 1.140 Jul-05 $ 1.790 $ 2.190 $ 0.130 $ 0.020 $ - $1.060 $ 0.990 $ 1.140 Aug-05 $ 1.820 $ 2.220 $ 0.140 $ 0.020 $ - $1.080 $ 1.010 $ 1.160 Sep-05 $ 1.970 $ 2.300 $ 0.140 $ 0.020 $ - $ 1.230 $ 1.160 $ 1.240 FY 04/05 Avg. 1$ 1.803 $ 2.162 $ 0.122 $ 0.012 $ 0.004 $ 1.085 $ 1.015 $ 1.174 2004 AVQ. $ 1.652 $ 1.968 $ 0.123 $ - $ - $ 0.949 $ 0.879 $ 1.046 -~ -~~ Oct-OS $ 2.190 $ 2.530 $ 0.120 $ 0.020 $ - $1.470 $ 1.390 $ 1 .490 Nov-05 $ 2.190 $ 2.530 $ 0.120 $ 0.020 $ - $ 1.470 $ 1.390 $ 1.490 Dee-OS $ 2.260 $ 2.490 $ 0.120 $ 0.020 $ - $1.540 $ 1.460 $ 1 .450 Jan-06 $ 2.260 $ 2.490 $ 0.120 $ 0.020 $ - $1.540 $ 1.460 $ 1 .450 Feb-06 $ 2.220 $ 2.460 $ 0.160 $ 0.010 $ - $ 1.470 $ 1.390 $ 1.390 Mar-06 $ 2.220 $ 2.460 $ 0.160 $ 0.010 $ - $ 1.470 $ 1.390 $ 1.390 Apr-06 $ 2.110 $ 2.320 $ 0.170 $ 0.010 $ - $1.350 $ 1.270 $ 1.240 May-06 -- Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 FY 05/06 Avg. T 2.207 $ 2.469 $ 0.139 S- 0.016 $ - $ 1.473 $ 1.393 $ 1.414 2005 Avg. $ 1.925 $ 2.278 $ 0.127 $ 0.017 $ 0.004 $1.198 $ 1.125 $ 1.256 Incr. Above $ 0.250 $ 0.040 $ 0.040 $(0.010) $ (0.020) $ 0.240 $ 0.230 $ 0.030 Last Year Same Month 13% 2% 31% -50% -100% 22% 22% 2% Incr. Based $ 6.75 $ 1.18 on 27 Therms 12% 2% Equivalent ---- Cents/KWH 7.2 8.7 for Gas --- VS. FPC Rate 11.9 11.9 (Residential) -- Gas Cheaper by -39% -27% --j--- Note: Added $1 per month to Monthly Customer Charge for NG & LP effective 41112005 -- n_ -. >--~. f------- ---- "~--~ Notes: . Based on Bulk LP (BRLP3 which is aoolicable for customers usin 120.1 - 300 aallonslvear & eaual to Residential LP Will Call (BRvVccPT. CSW:04/28/05 I I I I I I I Attachment #6 ! I I I I I I I ''''-1'_ 2 ~7 1.- Residential Rate History By Components # Clearwater Gas System I Total Rate ComDOnen~herm Contract LP Month NG/therm LP/aallon . ECA EIA WNA PGA PGA PGAlnalfOil $ $ 0.110 $ $ $ Q.600 $ 0.510 $ "- Oct-OO $ 1.290 1.601 - - 0.800 Noy-OO $ 1.320 $ 1.651 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 0.630 $ 0.540 $ ~~ Dee-OO $ 1.430 $ 1.651 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 0.740 $ 0.650 $ ,~ Jan-01 $ 1.890 $ 1.801 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 1.200 $ 1.110 $ 1.000 Feb-01 $ 1.890 $ 1.901 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 1.200 $ 1.110 $ 1.100 1.890 $ 1.901 , $ 0.110 $ $ $ 1.200 $ 1.110 $ 1.100 Mar-01 $ - - Apr -01 $ 1.670 $ 1.691 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 0.980 $ 0.895 $ 0.890 May-01 $ 1.580 $ 1.620 $ 0.120 $ - $ - $ 0.880 $ 0.795 $ 0.810 Jun-01 $ 1.500 $ 1.578 $ 0.140 $ - $ - $ 0.780 $ 0.695 $ 0.750 Jul-01 $ 1.420 $ 1.516 $ 0.160 $ - $ - $ 0.680 $ 0.595 $ 0.670 AUQ-01 $ 1.390 $ 1.445 $ 0.180 $ - $ - $ 0.630 $ 0.545 $ 0.580 SEm.::-01 $ 1.340 $ 1.433 $ 0.200 $ - S. - $ 0.560 $ 0.540 $ 0.550 FY Average $ 1.551 $ 1.649 $ 0.131 $ - $ - $ 0.840 $ 0.758 $ 0.829 2000 Avg. $ 1.222 $ 1.584 $ 0.103 $ 0.003 $ 0.010 $ 0.527 $ 0.431 $ 0.779 Oet-01 $ 1.340 $ 1.380 $ 0.140 $ - $ - $ 0.620 $ 0.540 $ 0.550 Noy-01 $ 1.340 $ 1.380 $ 0.140 $ - $ - $ 0.620 $ 0.540 $ 0.550 Dee-O 1 $ 1.340 $ 1.380 $ 0.140 $ - $ - $ 0.620 $ 0.540 $ 0.550 Jan-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.390 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.020 $ 0.600 $ 0.520 $ 0.520 Feb-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.390 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.020 $ 0.600 $ 0.520 $ 0.520 Mar-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.420 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.040 $ 0.580 $ 0.500 $ 0.520 Apr-02 .$ 1.360 $ 1.420 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.040 $ 0.580 $ 0.500 $ 0.520 May-02 $ 1.340 $ 1.550 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.040 $ 0.560 $ 0.480 $ 0.550 Jun-02 $ 1.340 $ 1.550 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.040 $ 0.560 $ 0.480 $ 0.550 Jul-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.620 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.040 $ 0.580 $ 0.500 $ 0.620 " Aug-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.690 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.040 $ 0.580 $ 0.500 $ 0.690 Seo-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.690 $ 0.160 ~ $,0.040 $ 0.580 $ 0.500 $ 0.690 FY Average 1.352 1.488 0.155 - 0.027 0.590 0.510 0.569 2001 Avg. $ 1.549 $ 1.586 $ 0.138 $ - $ - ~ 0.831 $ 0.751 $ 0.758 Oct-02 $ 1.300 $ 1.640 $ 0.100 $ - $ - $ 0.620 $ 0.550 $ 0.740 Noy-02 $ 1.300 $ 1.640 $ 0.100 $ $ $ 0.620 $ 0.550 $ '-. - - -~ Dee-02 $ 1.300 $ 1.640 $ 0.100 $ - $ - $ 0.620 $ 0.550 $ 0.740 Jan-03 $ 1.420 $ 1.770 $ 0.120 $ - $ - $ 0.720 $ 0.650 $ 0.850 Feb-03 $ 1.480 $ 1.810 $ 0.120 $ - $ - $ 0.780 $ 0.650 $ 0.890 Mar-03 $ 1.560 $ 1.900 $ 0.160 $ - $ - $ 0.820 $ 0.750 $ 0.940 Apr-03 $ 1.560 $ 1.900 $ 0.160 $ - $ - $ 0.820 $ 0.750 $ 0.940 May-03 $ 1.560 $ 1.900 $ 0.160 $ - $ - $ 0.820 $ 0.750 $ 0.940 Jun-03 $ 1.560 $ 1.900 $ 0.160 $ - $ - $ 0.820 $ 0.750 $ 0.940 Jul-03 $ 1.560 $ 1.900 $ 0.160 $ - $ - $ 0.820 $ 0.750 $ 0.940 Aug-03 $ 1.560 $ 1.900 $ 0.160 $ - $ - $ 0.820 $ 0.750 $ 0.940 Seo-03 $ 1.560 $ 1.900 $ 0.160 ~ L.: $ 0.820 $ 0.750 $ 0.940 FY Average 1.477 1.817 0.138 - - 0.758 0.683 0.878 2002 Avg. $ 1.342 $ 1.553 $ 0.145 $ - ~ 0.027 $ 0.590 $ 0.513 $ 0.617 Oet-03 $ 1.530 $ 1.830 $ 0.100 $ - $ - $ 0.850 $ 0.780 $ 0.930 Nov-03 $ 1.530 $ 1.830 $ 0.100 $ - $ - $ 0.850 $ 0.780 $ 0.930 Dee-03 $ 1.530 $ 1.830 $ 0.100 $ - $ - $ 0.850 $ 0.780 $ 0.930 Jan-04 $ 1.590 $ 1.910 $ 0.120 $ - $ - $ 0.890 $ 0.820 $ 0.990 Feb-04 $ 1.590 $ 1.910 $ 0.120 $ - $ - $ 0.890 $ 0.820 $ 0.990 Mar-04 $ 1.590 $ 1.910 $ 0.120 $ - $ - $ 0.890 $ 0.820 $ 0.990 Apr-04 $ 1.590 $ 1.910 $ 0.120 $ - $ - $ 0.890 $ 0.820 $ 0.990 Mav-04 $ 1.610 $ 1.910 $ 0.120 $ - $ - $ 0.910 $ 0.840 $ 0.990 Jun-04 $ 1.610 $ 1.910 $ 0.120 $ - $ - $ 0.910 $ 0.840 $ 0.990 Jul-04 $ 1.690 $ 1.990 $ 0.150 $ - $ - $ 0.960 $ 0.890 $ 1.040 Aug-04 $ 1.690 $ 1.990 $ 0.150 $ - $ - $ 0.960 $ 0.890 $ 1.040 Seo-04 $ 1.690 $ 2.030 $ 0.150 ~ L.: $ 0.960 $ 0.890 $ 1.080 FY Average 1.603 1.913 0.123 - - 0.901 0.831 0.991 2003 Avg. $ 1.534 $ 1.864 $ 0.138 $ - $ - $ 0.816 $ 0.741 $ 0.926 Notes: '-- . Based on Bulk LP (BRLP3) which is applicable for customers usina 120.1 - 300 aallons year & equal to Residential LP Will Call (BRWCLP). ,- Added $1 per month to Monthly Customer Charae for NG & LP effective 4/1/2005 I I I I