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ANALYSIS OF CLEARWATER MARINE AQUARIUM'S TRAFFIC IMPACT STUDY Analysis of Clearwater Marine Aquarium’sAATraffic Impact Study By City of Clearwater’sA Traffic Engineering Staff July 25, 2013 Page 2 of 98 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Clearwater Marine Aquarium (CMA) proposes to build an aquarium in downtown Clearwater on property located at the northwest corner of Osceola Avenue and Pierce Street. CMA was requested by the City to submit a detailed Traffic Impact Study (TIS) which was conducted by Gulf Coast Consulting (GCC), Inc. using a specific methodology. The results of this TIS are summarized below, along with additional projections for 2 million and 2.5 million annual visitors as quoted by CMA representatives to City Council. The TIS was conducted properly in accordance with the agreed upon methodology. The TIS projected traffic volume is significantly lower (~70%) as compared to projected vehicular trips generated from both the 2 million & 2.5 million annual visitor scenarios. At 2 million visitors during the PM peak hour, Ft. Harrison Ave. between Chestnut St. and Court St. fails with a level of service (LOS) “F”.A At 2 million visitors during the PM peak hour, the signalized intersection of Osceola Avenue andACourtAStreetAfailsAwithAaALOSA“F”. At 2 million visitors during the Saturday mid-day peak, the signalized intersection of Ft. HarrisonA ve.AandACourtASt.AfailsAwithAaALOSA“F”. Due to physical constraints of the right of way, the recommended method of mitigation wouldAincludeA“wayAfinding”AsignageAinAstrategicAareas. A round-about constructed at Cleveland Street and Drew Street extension would help facilitate traffic to Pierce Street. The round-about would also help circulate traffic for special events at Coachman Park. Page 3 of 98 Introduction This report analyzes the proposed project by the Clearwater Marine Aquarium which is to build an aquarium in the downtown Clearwater’sABluff.AATheAnewAaquarium is to be built currently where the City Hall building sits (northwest corner of Osceola and Pierce intersection) along with a new parking garage (southwest corner of Osceola and Pierce intersection). This report will also compare the Level of Service (LOS) of the segments and intersections in the TIS (Traffic Impact Study) conducted by Gulf Coast Consulting (GCC) versus our study using projected annual visitors. Existing Traffic Volumes Existing traffic volumes were obtained from the TIS submitted by Gulf Coast Consulting. Trip Generation The peak hour trip generation of the project site was estimated using three scenarios. Scenario 1 from TIS by GCC. The submitted TIS by GCC used the category of a Multiplex Movie Theatre (ITE #445). This was used because currently no category for an Aquarium attraction exists in the Trip Generation Manual (Institute of Traffic Engineers, 9th edition, 2012). The best fit category was the MultiplexAtheatreAwhichAusesAtheAvariableA“numberAofAseats”AtoAcalculateAtheAexpectedApeakAhourAtripsA generated from the theatre as shown in table 1. Table 1 - Trip Generation Estimates Land Use Amount PM Peak Hour Trips (Rate:0.08 per seat) Sat. Mid-Day Peak Hour Trips (Rate:0.09 per seat) Multiplex theatre 1,750 seats 140 (50 in/ 90 out) 158 (114 in / 44 out) TOTAL 140 (50 in / 90 out) 158 (114 in / 44 out) Scenario 2 the estimated trip generation is from a projection of 2 million visitors per year. In order to translate the 2 million visitors per year to vehicles per hour in the p.m. peak, engineering judgments were made. Below are the calculations. Using projected average of 2 million visitors per year. Translate 2 million visitors to vehicular trips per hour in the p.m. peak hour. Criteria: 3 passengers per vehicle. 365 days per year Peak hour Factor of 30% of CM ’s daily traffic volume (extrapolated from CM ’sAattendance spreadsheet) 2,000,000 visitors per year/ 3 passengers per vehicles =666,666.67 vehicles per year Page 4 of 98 666,666.67 vehicles per year / 365 days per year = 1,826.48 vehicle per day 1,826.48 vehicles per day x 30% = 548 vph (p.m. peak hour) Scenario 3 the estimated trip generation is from a projection of 2.5 million visitors per year. In order to translate the 2.5 million visitors per year to vehicles per hour in the p.m. peak, engineering judgments were made. Below are the calculations. Using projected average of 2.5 million visitors per year. Translate 2.5 million visitors to vehicular trips per hour in the p.m. peak hour. Criteria: 3 passengers per vehicle. 365 days per year Peak Hour Factor of 30% of CM ’sAdaily traffic volume 2,500,000 visitors per year/ 3 passengers per vehicles =833,333 vehicles per year 833,333.33 vehicles / 365 days per year = 2,283.10 vehicles per day 2,283.10 vehicles per day x 30% = 685 vph (p.m. peak hour) Site Trip Distribution Site trip distribution were obtained from the TIS submitted by Gulf Coast Consulting. Study Area Study area is the same as studied in the TIS submitted by Gulf Coast Consulting. Intersection Operational Analysis An operational analysis of the selected signalized intersections was performed using Syncro software. The tables below show the intersections impact it undergoes in terms of LOS (level of service) during a typical weekday of the p.m. peak hour (table 2) and a Saturday mid-day peak hour (table 3) from existing volumes and the volumes from a 1,750 seat theatre (TIS by GCC), 2 million projected visitors and 2.5 million projected visitors. Page 5 of 98 Table 2 - Intersection Results Summary WEEKDAY PM PEAK Ft. Harrison & Chestnut Signal Delay (seconds/vehicle) Delay Level of Service Intersection Capacity Utilization (ICU) Existing Conditions*: 32.4 C 62.5 % 1750 seat theater*: 32.2 C 63.1 % 2M visitors / yr**: 21.5 C 100.0 % 2.5M visitors / yr**: 21.7 C 101.2% Ft. Harrison & Court Existing Conditions*: 30.3 C 61.5 % 1750 seat theater*: 30.3 C 63.3 % 2M visitors / yr**: 29.5 C 100.0% 2.5M visitors / yr**: 32.3 C 101.2 % Ft. Harrison & Drew Existing Conditions*: 12.2 B 56.3 % 1750 seat theater*: 12.7 B 57.2 % 2M visitors / yr**: 24.4 C 62.3% 2.5M visitors / yr**: 25.0 C 63.3% Oak & Chestnut Existing Conditions*: 16.8 B 62.6 % 1750 seat theater*: 18.1 B 63.2 % 2M visitors / yr**: 31.5 C 65.5 % 2.5M visitors / yr**: 31.7 C 66.3 % Osceola & Court Existing Conditions*: 8.2 A 42.2 % 1750 seat theater*: 9.7 A 47.0 % 2M visitors / yr**: 118.7 F 63.5 % 2.5M visitors / yr**: 244.7 F 68.5 % Osceola & Cleveland Existing Conditions*: 5.6 A 32.5 % 1750 seat theater*: 5.6 A 32.5 % 2M visitors / yr**: 11.7 B 43.6% 2.5M visitors / yr**: 11.7 B 43.6% Page 6 of 98 Osceola & Drew Existing Conditions*: 6.1 A 39.7 % 1750 seat theater*: 6.8 A 41.5 % 2M visitors / yr**: 9.3 A 41.3% 2.5M visitors / yr**: 9.3 A 42.1 % *Analyzed by Gulf Coast Consulting traffic study. **Analyzed by City staff. Table 3- Intersection Results Summary SATURDAY MID-DAY PEAK Ft. Harrison & Chestnut Signal Delay (seconds/vehicle) Delay Level of Service Intersection Capacity Utilization (ICU) Existing Conditions*: 34.3 C 50.4 % 1750 seat theater*: 34.5 C 51.7 % 2M visitors / yr**: 26.5 C 97.1% 2.5M visitors / yr**: 25.7 C 100.8 % Ft. Harrison & Court Existing Conditions*: 33.2 C 67.5 % 1750 seat theater*: 33.4 C 71.8 % 2M visitors / yr**: 110.6 F 97.1 % 2.5M visitors / yr**: 173.3 F 100.8 % Ft. Harrison & Drew Existing Conditions*: 11.3 B 46.4 % 1750 seat theater*: 11.7 B 47.6 % 2M visitors / yr**: 24.2 C 64.0 % 2.5M visitors / yr**: 25.8 C 64.4 % Oak & Chestnut Existing Conditions*: 6.3 A 50.6 % 1750 seat theater*: 8.4 A 52.0 % 2M visitors / yr**: 13.6 B 48.1 % 2.5M visitors / yr**: 17.7 B 50.9 % Osceola & Court Existing Conditions*: 8.3 A 45.8 % 1750 seat theater*: 10.3 B 50.0 % 2M visitors / yr**: 11.6 B 61.3 % Page 7 of 98 2.5M visitors / yr**: 13.1 B 64.9 % Osceola & Cleveland Existing Conditions*: 5.6 A 32.5 % 1750 seat theater*: 5.7 A 33.2 % 2M visitors / yr**: 11.6 B 40.7 % 2.5M visitors / yr**: 11.4 B 42.4 % Osceola & Drew Existing Conditions*: 5.0 A 40.2 % 1750 seat theater*: 5.0 A 40.8 % 2M visitors / yr**: 9.1 A 44.6% 2.5M visitors / yr**: 10.7 B 46.4% *Analyzed by Gulf Coast Consulting traffic study. **Analyzed by City staff. Roadway Segment Operational Analysis Roadway segment analyses wereAundertakenAutilizingAFDOT’sAgeneralizedAserviceAvolumeAtables.ATheA tables below shows the roadway segments impact it undergoes in terms of LOS (level of service) during a typical weekday of the p.m. peak hour (table 4) and a Saturday mid-day peak hour (table 5) from existing volumes and the volumes from a 1,750 seat theatre (TIS by GCC), 2 million projected visitors and 2.5 million projected visitors. Table 4 - Roadway Segment Results Summary WEEKDAY PM PEAK EXISTING (2013)* 1750 seat multiplex* 2M projected visitors** 2.5M projected visitors** Roadway Segment LOS LOS LOS LOS Ft Harrison Ave (Chestnut - Court) D D D F Ft Harrison Ave (Court - Pierce) D D D D Ft Harrison Ave (Pierce - Cleveland) D D D D Ft Harrison Ave (Cleveland - Drew) D D D D Osceola Ave (Court - Pierce) C C D D Osceola Ave (Pierce - Cleveland) C C C C Osceola Ave (Cleveland - Drew) C C C C Chestnut (Oak - Ft Harrison) C C C C Chestnut (E of Ft Harrison) C C C C Court St ( E of Ft Harrison) C C C C Court St (Ft Harrison - Oak Ave) C C C C Pierce St (E of Ft Harrison) C C C C Page 8 of 98 Pierce St (Ft Harrison - Osceola) C C C C Cleveland St (E of Ft Harrison) C C C C Cleveland St (Ft Harrison - Osceola) C C C C Table 5 - Roadway Segment Results Summary SATURDAY MID-DAY PEAK EXISTING (2013)* 1750 seat multiplex* 2M projected visitors** 2.5M projected visitors** Roadway Segment LOS LOS LOS LOS Ft Harrison Ave (Chestnut - Court) D D D F Ft Harrison Ave (Court - Pierce) D D D D Ft Harrison Ave (Pierce - Cleveland) D D D D Ft Harrison Ave (Cleveland - Drew) D D D D Osceola Ave (Court - Pierce) C C C D Osceola Ave (Pierce - Cleveland) C C C C Osceola Ave (Cleveland - Drew) C C C C Chestnut (Oak - Ft Harrison) C C C C Chestnut (E of Ft Harrison) C C C C Court St ( E of Ft Harrison) C C C C Court St (Ft Harrison - Oak Ave) C D D D Pierce St (E of Ft Harrison) C C C C Pierce St (Ft Harrison - Osceola) C C C C Cleveland St (E of Ft Harrison) C C C C Cleveland St (Ft Harrison - Osceola) C C C C Drew St (E of Ft Harrison) C C C C Drew St (Ft Harrison - Osceola) C C C C * From Gulf Coast Consulting TIS ** From City staff Conclusion This study was to estimate the traffic impact for the proposed new CMA Aquarium in downtown Clearwater’sABluff for both a weekday during the PM peak hour conditions and Saturday mid-day peak conditions. It also compared the TIS by GCC (scenario 1) with the projected 2 million (Scenario 2) and 2.5 million (Scenario 3) annual visitors. Using engineering judgment, the 2 million & 2.5 million annual projected visitors was translated into PM peak hour trips. Page 9 of 98 Staff also input the vehicular trip volumes fromAallA3AscenariosAintoAtheACity’sAmodelAofAtheAadjacentA roadwayAnetworkAofAtheAdowntownAClearwater’sAbluff.AAThisAmodel ties all the signalized intersections used in the traffic impact study conducted by Gulf Coast Consulting, Inc. along with the signal timings used today (see appendix). Out of the three scenarios, the 2.5 million annual visitors was the worst case in terms of estimated vehicular daily trips. TheACity’sAComprehensiveAplanAadopted December of 2008, under section B.1.5.6 Recognize the LOS standard of C average daily/D peak hour and volume/capacity ratio of 0.9 on roads underAcountyAjurisdiction,AinAaccordanceAwithAtheAMPO’s countywide concurrency management standards. The results of the study documented herein are summarized below: The proposed development with 2.5 million annual visitors is anticipated to generate 2,283 new daily trips and 685 vehicles per hour net new PM peak hour trips. During the weekday PM peak hour conditions, all studied intersections and roadway segments currently operate at acceptable level of service D or better and are expected to do so during the build-out year. During the Saturday mid-day peak conditions, all studied intersections and roadway segments currently operate at acceptable level of service D or better and are expected to do so during the build-out year. In the future with build-out during the weekday PM peak hour conditions and the Saturday mid- day peak conditions, the only segment that fails with a LOS “F” is Ft. Harrison Ave (Chestnut – Court). In the future with build-out during the weekday PM peak hour conditions, the only signalized intersectionAthatAfailsAwithAaALOSA“F”AisAOsceola Avenue and Court Street intersection. In the future with build-out during the Saturday mid-day peak conditions, the only signalized intersectionAthatAfailsAwithAaALOSAofA“F”AisAFort Harrison Avenue and Court Street intersection. Mitigation - The roadway segment Ft Harrison Ave (Chestnut – Court) is constrained and very expensive to widen the roadwayAthereforeAstrategicAplacementAofA“wayfinding”AorA“guide”AsignsA may help disperse new traffic to roadways that have more capacity (see map 1). The green arrows are vehicles entering the site from NB Fort Harrison Avenue and the red arrows exiting the site from SB Fort Harrison Avenue. InAadditionAtoAprovideA“wayfinding”AsignsAforAvisitorsA approaching CMA aquarium from WB Drew Street and WB Cleveland Street (green arrows) via new round-about at Cleveland Street and Drew Street extension. A new round-about at Cleveland Street and Drew Street extension will help facilitate traffic to Pierce Street and vice versa. This round-about will also help circulate traffic for special events at Coachman Park e.g. the annual Jazz festival. Page 10 of 98 Any mitigation to consider widening Fort Harrison Avenue would require additional studies due to right-of-way constraints. MAP 1 -WAYFINDING ROUTE Page 11 of 98 APPENDIX Page 12 of 98 SYNCHRO DATA Page 13 of 98 Page 14 of 98 Page 15 of 98 Page 16 of 98 Page 17 of 98 Page 18 of 98 Page 19 of 98 Page 20 of 98 Page 21 of 98 Page 22 of 98 Page 23 of 98 Page 24 of 98 Page 25 of 98 Page 26 of 98 Page 27 of 98 Page 28 of 98 Page 29 of 98 Page 30 of 98 Page 31 of 98 Page 32 of 98 Page 33 of 98 Page 34 of 98 Page 35 of 98 Page 36 of 98 Page 37 of 98 Page 38 of 98 Page 39 of 98 Page 40 of 98 Page 41 of 98 Page 42 of 98 Page 43 of 98 Page 44 of 98 Page 45 of 98 Page 46 of 98 Page 47 of 98 Page 48 of 98 Page 49 of 98 Page 50 of 98 Page 51 of 98 Page 52 of 98 Page 53 of 98 Page 54 of 98 Page 55 of 98 Page 56 of 98 Page 57 of 98 Page 58 of 98 Page 59 of 98 Page 60 of 98 Page 61 of 98 Page 62 of 98 Page 63 of 98 Page 64 of 98 COVER PAGE OF TRAFFIC IMPACT STUDY BY GULF COAST CONSULTING, INC. 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