GAS ADJUSTMENTS EFFECTIVE FEBRUARY 1, 2006
REceIVED
CLEARWA TER GAS SYSTEM
Interoffice Correspondence Sheet
FROM:
Chuck Warrington, Managing Director
~
),\N 3 1 2005
':JFFICIAt. I<ECOROS AND
LEGISlATIVE SRVCS DEPT
TO:
William B. Horne II, City Manager
COPIES: Rod Irwin, Assistant City Manager; Cyndie Goudeau, City Clerk;
CGS & CCS Management Teams; Janet Dorrough, Sr. Accountant/CGS;
Tom Madley, Sr. Accountant/CCS; Laura Damico, Sr. Accountant/CCS
SUBJECT: GAS ADJUSTMENTS EFFECTIVE FEBRUARY 1, 2006
DATE: January 26, 2006
Even though the gas markets remain very high historically, they have begun to stabilize
somewhat. Therefore, we are recommending a decrease of 7C/therm in our Natural Gas
Purchased Gas Adjustments (PGA) and a decrease of 6C/gallon in our Propane (LP) PGA.
Unfortunately, we are running behind on our Energy Conservation Adjustment (ECAl.
Therefore, we are recommending an increase of 4C/therm or gallon in our ECA. Offsetting
this, Environmental Imposition Adjustment (EIA) collections are running ahead of expenses,
so we are recommending a decrease of 1 C/therm or gallon. We still are not recommending
implementing our Weather Normalization Adjustment (WNA) clause at this time.
The net effect of these recommended changes is a decrease in our typical Residential
Natural Gas customer's rate of 4C/therm (down 1.8%) and a decrease in our typical
Residential LP customer's rate of 3C/gallon (down 1.2%).
Therefore, we are recommending your approval of the following rates to become effective
for billings rendered on and after February 1, 2006:
Natural Gas Firm Standard Rate Schedule PGA ....... $1.470 per therm (down 7.0C/therm)
Natural Gas Interruptible and Contract
(Non-Standard) Rate Schedule PGA ............. $1.390 per therm (down 7.0C/therm)
Propane (LP) Gas Rate Schedule PGA .................... $1.390 per gallon (down 6.0C/gallon)
Energy Conservation Adjustment (ECA) ............... $0.160 per therm or gallon
(up 4.0C/therm or gallon)
Environmental Imposition Adjustment (EIA) ......... $0.010 per therm or gallon
(down 1 .OC/therm or gallon)
Weather Normalization Adjustment (WNA) .......... $0.000 per therm (no change)
& $0.000 per gallon of LP (no change)
"
William B. Horne II, City Manager
Page 2
January 25, 2006
Attachment #1 shows the status of our Adjustment Recovery Clause balances with
actuals thru December and projections thru Period 13. These show that we are currently
$3.23 Million behind on our collections but are projecting recovering this by the end of the
last fiscal year. It is important to our overall financials for FY 05/06 that we bring this
closer to balance by Fiscal Year End.
Attachments #2 and #3 show our current annual projections for Natural Gas and LP supply
costs, respectively. Attachments #4 and #5 show the impact of these adjustment clause
changes on our overall Natural and LP Gas rates, respectively. Attachment #6 shows our
rate history over the past 5 years and shows our relationship to electric prices.
I should point out that the overall effect is that our typical Residential customer rates are
still 36% lower than electric for Natural Gas and 23% lower for LP. These margins have
increase significantly since Progress Energy Florida implemented a sizeable increase in their
Fuel Adjustment charges in January.
It is our plan to use the above-proposed adjustments for billings through September 30,
2006, unless there is a significant change in our forecasts or we project a significant
over/under recovery of our adjustment clauses. We will continue to track these balances
monthly, make monthly projections of these factors based on market conditions, and let
you know if any of these get significantly out of balance.
Bill, I would appreciate your approval of these revised adjustment rates so we can get this
information to CCS in order to make the appropriate adjustments in the billing formulas in
time for the December 1 st billings. If you have any questions on this, please call me.
CSW /csw
Attachments
Approved:
~4-'~ ~
iIIiam B. Horne II, City Manager
4
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Jan-06 1.0400 1 .1500 50,000 $ 57,500.00 1.154
Feb-06 1.0100 1 .1200 54,000 $ 60,480.00 1.142
Mar-06 1.0100 1 .1200 54,000 $ 60,480.00 1.136
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CSW:01/26/06 Attachment #6
I -- -- --~-~--
Residential Rate History _ By Components
Clearwater Gas System
T
Total Rate ComDonentslTherm Contract LP
Month NG/therm LP/aallon * ECA EIA WNA PGA PGA PGA/aallon
Oct-04 $ 1.710 $ 2.030 $ 0.100 $ - $ - $ 1.030 $ 0.960 $ 1.130
-- Nov-04 $ $ $ 0.100 $ $ $ 1.030 $ 0.960 -!-----~Q-
1.710 2.030 - -
Dec-04 $ 1.750 $ 2.090 $ 0.100 $ - $ - $ 1.070 $ 1.000 $ 1.1~Q.
Jan-05 $ 1.750 $ 2.090 $ 0.100 $ - $ - $ 1.070 $ 1.000 $ 1 . 190
__ Feb-05 $ 1.830 $ 2.150 $ 0.130 $ - $ 0.010 $1.110 $ 1.040 $ 1.210
$ 0.130 $ 0.020 $ 0.020 $1.110 $ --
Mar-OS $ 1.860 $ 2.180 1.040 $ 1.210
Apr-05 $ 1.860 $ 2.280 $ 0.130 $ 0.020 $ 0.020 $1.110 $ 1.040 $ 1.210
May-OS $ 1.790 $ 2.190 $ 0.130 $ 0.020 $ - $1.060 $ 0.990 $ 1.140
Jun-05 $ 1.790 $ 2.190 $ 0.130 $ 0.020 $ - $1.060 $ 0.990 $ 1.140
Jul-05 $ 1.790 $ 2.190 $ 0.130 $ 0.020 $ - $1.060 $ 0.990 $ 1.140
Aug-05 $ 1.820 $ 2.220 $ 0.140 $ 0.020 $ - $1.080 $ 1.010 $ 1.160
Sep-05 $ 1.970 $ 2.300 $ 0.140 $ 0.020 $ - $ 1.230 $ 1.160 $ 1.240
FY 04/05 Avg. $ 1.803 $ 2.162 $ 0.122 $ 0.012 $ 0.004 $ 1.085 $ 1.015 $ 1.174
2004 Avg. $ 1.652 $ 1.968 $ 0.123 $ - $ - $ 0.949 $ 0.879 $ 1.046
$ 0.120 $ 0.020 --- ----
Oct-OS $ 2.190 $ 2.530 $ - $1.470 $ 1.390 $ 1.490
_...___....u Nov-05 $ 2.190 $ 2.530 $ 0.120 $ 0.020 $ $1.470 $ 1.390 $ 1.490
-
Dee-OS $ $ 2.490 $ 0.120 $ 0.020 $ $1.540 $ -- $
2.260 - 1.460 1 .450
Jan-06 $ 2.260 $ 2.490 $ 0.120 $ 0.020 $ - $ 1.540 $ 1 .460 $ 1.450
Feb-06- $ 2.220 $ 2.460 $ 0.160 $0.010 $ - $ 1.470 $ 1.390 $ 1.390
Mar-06
--
Apr-06
May-06 --
Jun-06
Jul-06 --
Aug-06
Sep-06
FY 05/06 Avg. $ 2.224 $ 2.500 $ 0.128 $ 0.018 $ - $ 1.498 $ 1.418 $ 1.454
2005 Avg. $ 1.925 $ 2.278 $ 0.127 I $ 0.017 $ 0.004 $1.198 $ 1.125 $ 1.256
Incr. Above $ 0.390 $ 0.310 $ 0.030 $ 0.010 $ (0.01 0) $ 0.360 $ 0.350 $ o ..'!!.Q..
Last Year
Same Month 21% 14% 23% NA -100% 32% 34% 15%
Incr. Based $ 18.55 $ 16.25
on 45 Therms 21% 15%
-"--.-
Equivalent -----
Cents/KWH 7.6 9.2 --
for Gas
--
vs. FPC Rate 11.9 11.9
(Re~idential) --- --.,.
-- --- ---------
----- I --- ----- -,.__."'-""-~,-
Gas Cheaper --- ---- --------
by -36% -23% ----
I n_ ----.---
--~--,---.
-- ~---------
I
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---
Notes: ----
· Based on Bulk LP (BRLP3 which is applicable for customers using 120.1 - 300 aallons/vear & equal to Residential LP Will Call (BRWCLP).