GAS ADJUSTMENTS EFFECTIVE FEBRUARY 1, 2005RECEIVE[
CLEARWATER GAS SYSTEM JAN 2 8 2005
Interoffice Correspondence Sheet OFFICIAL RECORDS AND
TO: William B. Horne II, City Manager LEGISLATIVE SRVCS DEPT
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FROM: Chuck Warrington, Managing Director vJ J
COPIES: Garry Brumback, Assistant City Manager; Cyndie Goudeau, City Clerk;
CGS & CCS Management Teams; Janet Dorrough, Sr. Accountant /CGS;
Tom Medley, Sr. Accountant /CCS; Laura Damico, Sr. Accountant /CCS
SUBJECT: GAS ADJUSTMENTS EFFECTIVE FEBRUARY 1, 2005
DATE: January 25, 2005
Natural and LP gas supply prices are still historically high and continue to increase
somewhat. Therefore, we are recommending an increase of 40/therm in our Natural Gas
Purchased Gas Adjustments (PGA) and an increase in our Propane (LP) PGA of U /gallon.
We are also recommending an increase in our Energy Conservation Adjustment (ECA) of
30/therm or gallon due to the continuing level of growth. Finally, the weather has been
warmer than normal FYTD such that we are recommending the implementation of a
1 0/therm or gallon Weather Normalization Adjustment (WNA) at this time, which we
expect to require thru June. The final timing of the WNA discontinuance will depend on
the weather for the remainder of the winter. We are not recommending any other
adjustment clause changes at this time.
The net effect of these recommended changes is an increase in our typical Residential
Natural Gas customer's rate of 80/therm (up 4.6 %1 and an increase in our typical
Residential LP customer's rate of 60 /gallon (up 2.9 %).
Therefore, we are recommending your approval of the following rates to become effective
for billings rendered on and after February 1, 2005:
Natural Gas Firm Standard Rate Schedule PGA ....... $1.11 per therm (up 40/therm)
Natural Gas Interruptible and Contract
(Non - Standard) Rate Schedule PGA ............. $1.04 per therm (up 40/therm)
Propane (LP) Gas Rate Schedule PGA .................... $1.21 per gallon (up 20/gallon)
Energy Conservation Adjustment (ECA) ............... $0.13 per therm (up 30/therm)
& $0.13 per gallon of LP (up 30/gallon)
Environmental Imposition Adjustment (EIA) ......... $0.00 per therm (no change) and
$0.00 per gallon of LP (no change)
Weather Normalization Adjustment (WNA) .. ......... $0.01 per therm (up 1 0/therm)
& $0.01 per gallon of LP (up 1 0/gallon)
William B. Horne II, City Manager January 25, 2005
Page 2
Attachment #1 shows the FY 04/05 FYTD status of our Adjustment Recovery Clause
balances with actuals thru December and projections through FYE Period 13. These show
that we are nearly $3.0 Million behind in our recovery clauses as of December and are
projecting to catch up on this by the end of the fiscal year. It is important to our overall
financials for FY 04/05 that we bring this close to balance by the Fiscal Year End, and our
recommended recovery factors are based on recovering the current deficit.
Attachments #2 and #3 show our current annual projections for Natural Gas supply costs
and LP supply costs, respectively. Attachment #4 shows our methodology for calculating
our proposed WNA. Attachments #5 and #6 show the impact of these adjustment clause
changes on our overall Natural and LP Gas rates, respectively. Attachment #7 shows our
rate history over the past 3 years and shows our relationship to electric prices.
I should point out that the overall effect is that our typical Residential customer rates are
still 34% lower than electric for Natural Gas and 15% lower for LP. This was impacted by
a fairly significant increase in Progress Energy rates in January also due to their supply
cost increases and another increase is expected in the Spring due to their hurricane losses
last year. Therefore, we still remain very competitive as compared to electric rates.
It is our plan to use the above - proposed adjustments for billings through September 30,
2005, unless there is a significant change in our forecasts or we project a significant
over /under recovery of our adjustment clauses. We will continue to track these balances
monthly, make monthly projections of these factors based on market conditions, and let
you know if any of these get significantly out of balance.
Bill, I would appreciate your approval of these revised adjustment rates so we can get this
information to CCS in order to make the appropriate adjustments in the billing formulas in
time for the February 1 st billings. If you have any questions on this, please call me.
CSW /csw
Attachments
Approved:
William B. Horne II, City Manager
U: \My Documents \MSOFFICE \WINWORD \GASRATES \Gas Adjustments for December 2004.doc
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At^TAc+4rnEdr SO
Propane Weighted Average Cost of Gas (WACOG) 1/25/2005
FY 2003 -04
Date
Company
Invoice R
Gallons
Delivered
Propane
Rate
Propane
Cost
Shipping
Cost
Total
ost
FYTD
Gallons
Cost of
Invento
Tank
Invan
Tank
Wlthdrav4
WACOG
51,600.00
0.899
Mar -05
0.735
$
0.845
50,000
$
42,250.00
0.886
Apr -05
0.730
$
09130104
30,000
$
24,900.00
0.880
May -05
0.730
$
0.830
$ 38,962-24
46,805
34,809
0.83368
Jun -05
0.730
$
0.830
10/12104
Seal
4004-0749
36 956
0.94926
S 38153.89
$ 825.29
36 979.10
38 956.0
75,841.42
85,561
0.866
0.88640
10/31/04
inv adjustment
344
0.94727
S 325.86
25,125.00
S 325.86
38 956.0
78167.28
85,905
0.840
0.88664
10/31/04
ad'ustment
WA
N/A
6,337.30
WA
11,337.30
38 956.0
67 829.98
a5 905
0.76959
10/31/04
11/09/04
End of month
Sea-3
4004 -0814
-
8,337.31
$ 8.337.31
36 955.0
S 39 576.90
47,914.21
50,123
35,7112
0.78959
50.123
0.95592
11/16/04
Sea-3
4004-0846
38 783
1.05835
$ 40196.07
828.58
77 719.0
88 938.84
88.886
1.00059
11130/04
inv ustment
286
$
77 719.0
88 938.84
69,152
0.99760
11/30/04
12/13104
End of month
Sea-3
4004 -0924
36 095 0.98768
37 580.85
S 824.89
77 719.0
$ 46 493.79
64,699.53
46,595
85 490
42,557
0.99760
0.99309
12/15/04
Suburban
132945
2 217
1.04420
2 314.78
WA
79 B35.B
S 87 214.32
87 707
0.99438
12/20/04
Sea-3
4004 -0948
19 661
0.98761
19 001.77
415.59
99 596. B
106 631.66
107 366
0.99314
12/31/04
inv ad ustment
231
1.78839
413.35
99 5968
S 107 045.03
107 589
0.99485
12/31/04
End of month
S 48 49
40
59,306
0.99485
F"D Totals
139 087
099674
135 996.59
894.33
Propane FY 2005
Projections
Projected
Current
Jan -05
N T mr.,&
uus cost
$ 0.995
$ 0.860
Gal Delivered
48,293
60,000
Inventory Cost
$ 48,044.48
$ 51,600.00
WACOG
0.920
Feb -05
0.750
$
0.860
60,000
$
51,600.00
0.899
Mar -05
0.735
$
0.845
50,000
$
42,250.00
0.886
Apr -05
0.730
$
0.830
30,000
$
24,900.00
0.880
May -05
0.730
$
0.830
30,000
$
24,900.00
0.874
Jun -05
0.730
$
0.830
30,000
$
24,900.00
0.870
Jul -05
0.730
$
0.830
30,000
$
24,900.00
0.866
Aug -05
0.738
$
0.838
30,000
$
25,125.00
0.864
Sep-05
0.740
$
0.840
40,000
$
33,600.00
0.862
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[ EJKLU]
-----
-
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'Same Month
i■���������s�■��
incr. B
on 45 Therms
Equivalent
vs. FPC Rate
5
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-
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Based on Bul
LP
ADRLP3)
which is uapplicable
for customers
YJI
-
csw tlrzsroa
Attachment 07
Page 2 of 2
Residential Rate History By Components
Clearwater
Gas S stem
Month
Total
NGltherm
Rate
LP/ allon "
ECA
Com on
CIA
nts/Thenn
MA
Contract
LP
PGA
PGA
PGAI Ilon
Oct 00
$ 1.290
$ 1.601
_
$ 0.110
$ -
$ -
$ 0.600
$ 0.510
$ 0.800
Nov -00
Dec-00
Jan-01
Feb -01
Mar -01
Apr -01
May -01
Jun -01
Jul -01
Aug -01
Seo-01
FY Average
2000 Avg.
$ 1.320
$ 1.430
$ 1.890
$ 1.890
$ 1.890
$ 1.670
$ 1.580
$ 1.500
$ 1.420
$ 1.390
1.3 0
; 1.551
$ 1.222
$ 1.651
$ 1.651
$ 1.801
$ 1.901
$ 1.901
$ 1.691
$ 1.620
$ 1.578
$ 1.516
$ 1.445
.433
$ 1.649
1.584
$ 0.110
$ 0.110
$ 0.110
$ 0.110
$ 0.110
$ 0.110
IF 0.120
$ 0.140
$ 0.160
$ 0.180
0.2
$ 0.131
0.103
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
; -
0.003
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
; -
$0.0 0
$ 0.630
$ 0.740
$ 1.200
$ 1.200
$ 1.200
$ 0.980
$ 0880
$ 0.780
$ 0.680
-C 0.630
0.560
$ 0.840
0.527
$ 0.540
$ 0.650
$ 1.110
$ 1.110
$ 1.110
$ 0.895
$ 0.795
$ 0.695
$ 0.595
T 0.545
=1 0.54
$ 0.850
-t 0.850
$ 1.000
$ 1.100
$ 0.890
$ 0.810
$ 0.750
$ 0.670
$ 0.580
$ 0.550
$ 0.758
0.431
; 0.829
0.77
Oct -01
Nov -01
Dec-01
Jan -02
Feb -02
Mar -02
A r -02
May-02
Jun -02
Jul-02
Aug -02
Sep-02
$ 1.340
$ 1.340
$ 1.340
$ 1.360
$ 1.360
$ 1.360
$ 1.360
$ 1.340
$ 1.340
$ 1.360
$ 1.360
1.360
$ 1.360
$ 1.380
$ 1.380
$ 1.390
$ 1.390
$ 1.420
$ 1.420
$ 1.550
$ 1.550
$ 1.620
$ 1.690
1.690
1 A88
.586
$ 0.140
$ 0.140
$ 0.140
$ 0.160
$ 0.160
$ 0.160
$ 0.160
$ 0.160
$ 0.160
$ 0.160
$ 0.160
0.160
0.155
.138
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
�_
-
-
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ 0.020
$ 0.020
$ 0.040
$ 0.040
0.040
$ 0.040
$ 0.040
$ 0.040
0.040
0.027
-
$ 0.620
$ 0.620
$ 0.620
$ 0.600
$ 0.600
$ 0.580
$ 0.580
$ 0.560
$ 0.560
$ 0.580
$ 0.580
0.580
0.5901
.83
$ 0.540
$ 0.540
T-0.540
$ 0.520
$ 0.520
$ 0.500
$ 0.500
$ 0.480
$ 0.480
$ 0.500
$ 0.500
0.500
0.510
0.75
$ 0.550
$ 0.550
$ 0.550
$ 0.520
$ 0.520
$ 0.520
$ 0.520
$ 0.550
$ 0.550
$ 0.620
$ 0.690
$ 0.690
0.569
0.758
FY Avera a
2001 Avg.
1.352
1.549
Oct -02
Nov -02
Dec-02
Jan -03
Feb -03
Mar -03
Apr -03
May -03
Jun -03
Jul -03
Aug -03
Sep-03
FY Average
2002 Avg.
$ 1.300
$ 1.300
$ 1.300
$ 1.420
$ 1.480
$ 1.560
$ 1.560
$ 1.560
$ 1.560
$ 1.560
$ 1.560
1.560
1.477
1.342
$ 1.640
$ 1.640
$ 1.640
$ 1.770
$ 1.810
$ 1.900
$ 1.900
$ 1.900
$ 1.900
$ 1.900
$ 1.900
1.900
1.817
1.553
$ 0.100
$ 0.100
$ 0.100
$ 0.120
$ 0.120
$ 0.160
$ 0.16-0-4-
$ 0.160
$ 0.160
$ 0.160
$ 0.160
0.160
0.138
0. 45
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
---s
$ -
-$---
$ -
$ -
�_
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$
-
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
-
$ 0.620
$ 0.620
$ 0.620
$ 0.720
-$7 0.780
$ 0.820
$ 0.820
$ 0.820
$ 0.820
$ 0.820
$ 0.820
0.820
$ 0.550
$ 0.550
$ 0.550
$ 0.650
$ 0.650
$ 0.750
-C 0.750
$ 0.750
$ 0.750
$ 0.750
$ 0.750
$ 0.740
$ 0.740
$ 0.740
$ 0.850
$ 0.890
$ 0.940
$ 0.940
$ 0.940
$ 0.940
$ 0.940
$ 0.940
0.750
$ 0.940
0.878
0.617
-
-
-
0.027
0.758
0.5 0
0.683
0.51-3-
Oct -03
Nov -03
Dec-03
Jan -04
Feb -04
Mar -04
Apr -04
May -04
Jun -04
Jul -04
Aug -04
Sen -04
$ 1.530
$ 1.530
$ 1.530
$ 1.590
$ 1.590
$ 1.590
$ 1.590
$ 1.610
$ 1.610
$ 1.690
$ 1.690
1.690
$ 1.830
$ 1.830
$ 1.830
$ 1.910
$ 1.910
$ 1.910
$ 1.910
$7 1.910
$ 1.910
$ 1.990
$ 1.990
2.030
1.913
.864
$ 0.100
$ 0.100
$ 0.100
$ 0.120
$ 0.120
$ 0.120
$ 0.120
$ 0.120
-$7 0.120
$ 0.150
$ 0.150
0.150
0.123
0.138
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
-
-
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
-
$ -
$ -
-
$ 0.850
$ 0.850
$ 0.850
$ 0.890
$ 0.890
$ 0.890
$ 0.890
$ 0.910
$ 0.910
0.960
$ 0.960
LS.96Q
$ 0.780
$ 0.780
$ 0.780
$ 0.930
$ 0.930
$ 0.930
$ 0.820
$ 0.820
$ 0.990
$ 0.990
$ 0.820
$ 0.820
$ 0.990
$ 0.990
$ 0.840
$ 0.840
$ 0.890
$ 0.890
LS.890
0.831 1
.741
$ 0.990
$ 0.990
$ 1.040
$ 1.040
$ 1.080
0.991
s 0.926
FY Average
2003 Avg.
1.503 1
1.534
0.901
0.8 6
Notes:
* Based on Bulk
LP BRLP3
which is aDpLlicable
for customers using 120.1 - 300 gallon fear & equal to Residential
LP Will Call (BRWCLP).