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GAS ADJUSTMENTS EFFECTIVE MARCH 1, 2003 TO: FROM: COPIES: SUBJECT: DATE: I I "'.'uti (:.';,.",; '.' .' ~ ; ~ ' ~ FEB 2 8 2003 CLEARWA TER GAS SYSTEM Interoffice Correspondence Sheet CITY CLER'( [:i-r",', ''''''.-''ENT ....i (\ _':":l''''r~~r', i "'i William B. Horne II, City Manager , Chuck Warrington, Managing Director ,,*) / Garry Brumback, Assistant City Manager; Cyndie Goudeau, City Clerk; CGS & CCS Management Teams; Janet Dorrough, Sr. Accountant/CGS; Tom Madley, Sr. Accountant/CCS; Laura Damico, Sr. Accountant/CCS GAS ADJUSTMENTS EFFECTIVE MARCH 1, 2003 February 25, 2003 Regrettably, world energy prices are continuing their upswing, necessitating our request to increase our Natural and Propane (LP) Gas supply prices somewhat. We are recommending an increase of 4C/therm in our Firm Natural Gas Purchased Gas Adjustment (PGA), an increase of 10C/therm in our Contract Natural Gas PGA, and an increase in our LP PGA of 5C/gallon in March. We are recommending a 4C/therm or gallon increase in our Energy Conservation Adjustment (ECA) in March, and we are recommending that we continue to not collect any Environmental Imposition Adjustment (EIA) as our balance in this account is still positive. The net effect of these recommended changes is an increase in our typical Residential Natural Gas customer's rate of 8C/therm (up 5.4%) and an increase in our typical Residential LP customer's rate of 9C/gallon (up 5.0%). Our Residential Natural Gas rates are still 16% below those of the winter of 2001 when NG rates spiked. Therefore, we are recommending your approval of the following rates to become effective for billings rendered on and after March 1, 2003: Natural Gas Firm Standard Rate Schedule PGA ....... $0.820 per therm (up 4.0C/therm) Natural Gas Interruptible and Contract (Non-Standard) Rate Schedule PGA ............. $0.750 per therm (up 10.0C/therm) Propane (LP) Gas Rate Schedule PGA .................... $0.940 per gallon (up 5.0C/gallon) = $1.027 per therm equivalent (up 5.4C/therm equivalent) Energy Conservation Adjustment (ECA) ............... $0.160 per therm (up 4.0C/therm) & $0.160 per gallon of LP (up 4.0C/gallon) Environmental Imposition Adjustment (EIA) ......... $0.000 per therm (no change) and $0.000 per gallon of LP (no change) William B. Horne II, City Janager Page 2 I February 25, 2003 Weather Normalization Adjustment (WNA) .......... $0.000 per therm (no change) & $0.000 per gallon of LP (no change) Attachment #1 shows the current status of our Adjustment Recovery Clause balances with actuals thru January and projections thru the end of the fiscal year. These show that we are currently $3.0 Million behind on our collections and are attempting to cut this by about over 2/3 by the end of the fiscal year. It is important to our overall financials for FY 02/03 that we bring this closer to balance by next Fiscal Year End, and our recommended recovery factors are based on this. Attachments #2 and #3 show our current annual projections for Natural Gas supply costs and LP historical FYTD costs, respectively. Attachments #4 and #5 show the impact of these adjustment clause changes on our overall Natural and LP Gas rates, respectively. Finally, Attachment #6 shows the history of our Residential rates and the adjustments back to October 2000. I should point out that the overall effect is that our tvpical Residential customer rates are still 34% lower than electric for Natural Gas and 12% lower for lP. It is our plan to use the above-proposed adjustments for billings through September 30, 2003, unless there is a significant change in our forecasts or we project a significant over/under recovery of our adjustment clauses. We will continue to track these balances monthly, make monthly projections of these factors based on market conditions, and let you know if any of these get significantly out of balance. Bill, I would appreciate your approval of these revised adjustment rates so we can get this information to CCS in order to make the appropriate adjustments in the billing formulas in time for the March 1st billings. If you have any questions on this, please call me. CSW /csw Attachments R>. ~-#~ '2t Approved: U:\My Documents\MSOFFICE\WINWORD\GASRATES\Gas Adjustments for March 2003.doc ....J =11:.... .... 0 5:i.... 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I I If T '1ft c ~ 1T!1Z-N ( /4= 3 -- Propane Inventory and Weighted Cost of Gas (WACOG) 2/21/2003 LP Supplied by: Sea-3 of Florida Suburban Propane Date ~~t~;--~r~;r~i;~:~~~;r~;r{..!1~~;~~'~~~ i ;:;';;i~~t1i~ii;~~-...1~;=_~-~:;.~;' 1(J/.3_1/(J~__t.' i.Q,! adjustment ' 306' 0,64605,: $ 197,69,,~:~3~"J+~1,375,84'__~<I~~_,. ..___..____.i...g-'~4J()5 10~31/0~___..1!'~~_~_'!1~ . "c~".1 t;, ""i';,'~ 29,968.21 ~_.__~.._~!!-~6.7__i_..O_~.~~195 11/14/.02., ".",. I. R.e~p.!l!.~~,.s _.2().!!.2..'1.1-8~_<l~,j. 90,000 al call 0 tion 2,75ct premium Dec-Feb) $ 2,475,00 $ 32,443,21 t' __ 55,389 i______-i_..Q:585.?.~ 11/1}/0?_ __.L~ll.~C?!lrcE!~:2.().Q5~~~<I_l!~J 9,133 0,60334 $ 5,510,31 Inte rated $ 5,510,31 46,172,0. $. 37,953,52 _, 64,5221____--+___Q.5l:ll:l~2, 11/20/02~~~:.~_~<I(J.(J5:()~33..L-- 18,002 0,60573 $ 10,546,83 $ 357,44 $ 10,904,27 64,174,0 $ 48,857,79 _.__ 82,524J-_____.___~Q:~!:l~()4 l~i~!(J~_._1 Suburban 612540 2,275,5 0,62600 $ 1,424.46 N/A $ 1,424,46 66,449,5 $ 50,282,2SL._ 84,800! _____.1__.Q"?!:l;?!:l~, 11/22/02 I Suburban 533546 2,022,0 0,63900 $ 1,292,06 N/A $ 1,292,06 68,471,5 $ 51,574,31 T 86,822 i ! 0,59403 : B~6;6~~"-'~Ji~~aifu~;~t~' 138 $~:. $ $ ii~1fi>>~B~;~~+t__~~:~;~:~ J=.-.-=~.~~~_=~~--i~;3~7~r~~.~~~;~-~~~ 12.i.!()I(J~_, i Suburba~___. 822716: 2,227[' 0,64900 I $ 1,445,39 J N/A $ 1,445,39 I 70,698,6.:$ 25,520,23~__ ___'!.2.~~?()__,O,59~~~ 12/11/02 Suburban; 882717 !2.,(J.15: (J'~<I!lO.Q :L1,.~(J7!l9J._1\I0_ . I $ _1~.(J?9_9 '._ _ ~?,7'1.'!:.orl_2~,828,22 ,_.i.4,~~~.,_ 0,59837 12/12/02 Suburban 752401 " ,2.,<112 0~6(J0_O, $1,591:.!l.9__:.flJ/~ ,,- "ti~1_'.?!l1'!l9 75,126-,-1,~, _2~,~?(),?1' " 47,2~7 0,60152 12/13/02 Suburban 882718 1,607 0,64900. $'I,043:0LflJ/l'. ,,_.$,_1,()~3c()776,733.:3_ !_2~-,'!.~:3:?.8 .48,855, 0,60308 12/14/02 Suburban 882719 2,346 __ n __O.~4!lQQ" .t_. .!c!?.?~ ~!l.LN.!~_____...;__L__ 1,52~<l9_+___J!l,O?9--,-2; .~. _~!_~~:7?;._.~~,?Q.O~mm _m_m__' .. ... O,t)0519 12112/02 Resources 200212-8845 9,601 I 0~039.'!. i $ 5,798 42 Integrated $._2, 798.42 +_~,68D.:..2.l~ 36,~~~____6.Q&0J..;__ _____n___.~.'O-'~()499 12/13/02 Resources 200212-8834 9,103 [0603941$ 5,497,67 Inte rated $ 5,497,67' 97,783,21 $ 42,281,86 i 69,904: , 0,60485 12114/02 . s~~~3-T40(j2:0912-nT'-'19.576T-0:60642 $ 11,480,74 $ 390,55 $ 11,871,29 117;359-:-i $54,153,1'5T--- 89,480T-.----.-~R~6052b. 1~~!'-q?_._jResources200302-9019 18,268 0,60394 $ 11,032,78 Inte rated $ 11,032,78 135,627,2 $ 65,185,93.. 107,748 i j:~1)1~'13 12/31/02iinv~djLJ~_trl113n! '439 1$ $ ,~y 397,62 .<1~5:62.7:2., $ 65,583,55 ~_~,187 :_.____._t__.D_,t)()_l?20 12/31/02 lEnd of month. . "{,"~.;#:f*'~f~r' l' !it", {~;;1~{~4~,ijlk $ 28,082.61 I 46,325;.. . 61,862 1 0.60620 )1/12/03 . -iRe~~~;~i2()0301:g237 l 18,267, 0,67924 i $ 12,407,68 Integrated $ 12,407,68 I 153,894,2 i $ 40,490,29! 64,5921--' _u____,,__ 6:62686 , _. , .. .,... ..... _""----m__--..--,---'-- 'n_'.___'~---'-'-- -----+-----------T--n--------l--",-,-.n---.~--'-.------'---'.,'n__________'_' )1/13/03 ; refund '.----n-i-------=--+_ .' : $ (7205~'-~~'!:.?--,J- 39,769,~.:__n~~_'.__n_._m_-i..mQ!.l?1570 )1/15/03m__j.__~ea~_ ,4003-0053' 19,240 0.68191 1$ 12,732.45 $ 387,50 $ 13,119,95 173,134,2 ~ 52,889,70 i. 83,832 i _.____1_().!_l?3..9~0 )1/21/03 Suburban'.... .882720' 2,199, 0,71600, $ 1,574,20 N/A $ 1,574,20, 175,332,8' $. 54,463,90 I .. 86,031 '. ..' 0,63307 J1/23/03 s~b.~rb~nI__.~~8i~~-'=:=_.~!_H=-o:75900 I $ 1,500,01 N/A $ 1,500.011~_!z?~Qi1:n.-55,963-:91r-=-88:QQIL=-~.:-~-.--J--::'9j3.~~90 J1/24/03 . 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I I CSW:02/25/03 I I I I I I I I I Attachment #6 I I I I I I I I I I Residential Rate History By Components Clearwater Gas System I , I I Total Rate Components/Therm Contract LP Month NG/therm LP/Qallon ECA EIA WNA PGA PGA PGA/Clallon Oct-OO $ 1,290 $ 1,601 $ 0,110 $ - $ - $ 0,600 $ 0,510 $ 0,800 Nov-OO $ 1,320 $ 1,651 $ 0,110 $ - $ - $ 0,630 $ 0,540 $ 0,850 Dec-OO $ 1.430 $ 1,651 $ 0,110 $ - $ - $ 0,740 $ 0,650 $ 0,850 Jan-01 $ 1,890 $ 1,801 $ 0,110 $ - $ - $ 1,200 $ 1,110 $ 1,000 Feb-01 $ 1,890 $ 1,901 $ 0,110 $ - $ - $ 1,200 $ 1,110 $ 1,100 Mar-01 $ 1,890 $ 1,901 $ 0,110 $ - $ - $ 1,200 $ 1,110 $ 1,100 Apr-01 $ 1,670 $ 1,691 $ 0,110 $ - $ - $ 0,980 $ 0,895 $ 0,890 May-01 $ 1,580 $ 1,620 $ 0,120 $ - $ - $ 0,880 $ 0,795 $ 0,810 Jun-01 $ 1,500 $ 1,578 $ 0,140 $ - $ - $ 0,780 $ 0,695 $ 0.750 Jul-01 $ 1 .420 $ 1,516 $ 0,160 $ - $ - $ 0,680 $ 0.595 $ 0,670 Aug-01 $ 1,390 $ 1.445 $ 0,180 $ - $ - $ 0,630 $ 0,545 $ 0,580 Sep-01 ~ 1,340 ~ 1 .433 $ 0,200 $ - :5 - :Ii 0,560 $ 0,540 ~ 0,550 FY Average $ 1.551 $ 1.649 $ 0.131 $ . $ . $ 0.840 $ 0.758 $ 0.829 2000 Avg. $ 1.222 $ 1.584 $ 0.103 $ 0.003 $ 0.010 $ 0.527 T 0.431 $ 0.779 Oct-01 $ 1,340 $ 1,380 $ 0,140 $ - $ - $ 0,620 $ 0,540 $ 0,550 Nov-01 $ 1,340 $ 1.380 $ 0,140 $ - $ - $ 0,620 $ 0,540 $ 0,550 Dec-01 $ 1,340 $ 1,380 $ 0,140 $ - $ - $ 0,620 $ 0,540 $ 0,550 Jan-02 $ 1,360 $ 1,390 $ 0,160 $ - $ 0,020 $ 0,600 $ 0,520 $ 0,520 Feb-02 $ 1.360 $ 1,390 $ 0,160 $ - $ 0,020 $ 0,600 $ 0,520 $ 0,520 Mar-02 $ 1,360 $ 1 .420 $ 0,160 $ - $ 0,040 $ 0,580 $ 0,500 $ 0,520 Apr-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.420 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0,040 $ 0.580 $ 0,500 $ 0,520 May-02 $ 1,340 $ 1,550 $ 0,160 $ - $ 0,040 $ 0,560 $ 0,480 $ 0,550 Jun-02 $ 1.340 $ 1,550 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0,040 $ 0,560 $ 0.480 $ 0,550 Jul-02 $ 1,360 $ 1,620 $ 0,160 $ - $ 0,040 $ 0,580 $ 0.500 $ 0,620 Aug-02 $ 1,360 $ 1,690 $ 0,160 $ - $ 0,040 $ 0.580 $ 0,500 $ 0,690 Sep-02 $ 1,360 $ 1,690 $ 0.160 ~ $ 0,040 $ 0,580 $ 0,500 $ 0,690 FY Average 1.352 1.488 0.155 . 0.027 0.590 0.510 0.569 2001 Avg. $ 1.549 $ 1.586 $ 0.138 $ - $ - $ 0.831 $ 0.751 $ 0.758 Oct-02 $ 1,300 $ 1,640 $ 0,100 $ - $ - $ 0,620 $ 0,550 $ 0,740 Nov-02 $ 1,300 $ 1,640 $ 0,100 $ - $ - $ 0,620 $ 0,550 $ 0,740 Dec-02 $ 1,300 $ 1,640 $ 0,100 $ - $ - $ 0,620 $ 0,550 $ 0,740 Jan-03 $ 1.420 $ 1,770 $ 0.120 $ - $ . $ 0,720 $ 0.650 $ 0,850 Feb-03 $ 1,480 $ 1,810 $ 0,120 $ - $ - $ 0,780 $ 0,650 $ 0,890 Mar-03 $ 1.560 $ 1,900 $ 0,160 $ - $ . $ 0,820 $ 0,750 $ 0,940 Apr-03 May-03 Jun-03 Jul-03 Aug-03 Sep-03 FY Average 1.393 1.733 0.117 . . 0.697 0.617 0.817 2002 Avg. $ 1.342 $ 1.553 $ 0.145 $ . $ 0.027 $ 0.590 $ 0.513 $ 0.617 Incr. Above $ 0.200 $ 0.480 $ . $ . $(0.040) $ 0.240 $ 0.250 $ 0.420 Last Year Same Month 15% 34% 0% NA -100% 41 % 50% 81 % Incr. Based $ 8.40 $ 22.03 on 42 Therms 12% 29% Equivalent Cents/KWH 5.3 7.1 for Gas vs. FPC Rate 8.0 8.0 (Residential) Gas Cheaper bv -34% -12%