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GAS ADJUSTMENTS EFFECTIVE FEBRUARY 1, 2003 I I HECEIVEO CLEARWATER GAS SYSTEM Interoffice Correspondence Sheet FEB 1 4 2003 CITY MANAGER'S OFFICE TO: William B. Horne II, City Manager FROM: Chuck Warrington, Managing Director COPIES: Garry Brumback, Assistant City Manager; Cyndie Goudeau, City Clerk; CGS & CCS Management Teams; Janet Dorrough, Sr. Accountant/CGS; Tom Madley, Sr. Accountant/CCS; Laura Damico, Sr. Accountant/CCS SUBJECT: GAS ADJUSTMENTS EFFECTIVE FEBRUARY 1, 2003 DATE: January 30, 2003 Regrettably, world energy prices are continuing their upswing, necessitating our request to increase our Natural and Propane (LP) Gas supply prices somewhat. We are recommending an increase of 6C/therm in our Firm Natural Gas Purchased Gas Adjustment (PGA) and an increase in our LP PGA of 4C/gallon in February. We are not recommending an increase in our Contract Natural Gas PGA at this time. We are not recommending any change in our Energy Conservation Adjustment (ECA) at this time, and we are recommending that we continue to not collect any Environmental Imposition Adjustment (EIA) as our balance for this is still positive. The net effect of these recommended changes is an increase in our typical Residential Natural Gas customer's rate of 6C/therm (up 4.2%) and an increase in our typical Residential LP customer's rate of 4C/gallon (up 2.3%). These rates are still 22% and 5%, respectively, below those of the winter of 2001 when rates spiked. Therefore, we are recommending your approval of the following rates to become effective for billings rendered on and after February 1, 2003: Natural Gas Firm Standard Rate Schedule PGA ....... $0.780 per therm (up 6.0C/therm) Natural Gas Interruptible and Contract (Non-Standard) Rate Schedule PGA ............. $0.650 per therm (no change) Propane (LP) Gas Rate Schedule PGA .................... $0.890 per gallon (up 4.0C/gallon) = $0.973 per therm equivalent (up 4.4C/therm equivalent) Energy Conservation Adjustment (ECA) ............... $0.120 per therm (no change) & $0.120 per gallon of LP (no change) Environmental Imposition Adjustment (EIA) ......... $0.000 per therm (no change) and $0.000 per gallon of LP (no change) William B. Horne II, City ~anager Page 2 I January 30, 2002 Weather Normalization Adjustment (WNA) .......... $0.000 per therm (no change) & $0.000 per gallon of LP (no change) Attachment #1 shows the current status of our Adjustment Recovery Clause balances with actuals thru December and projections thru the end of the fiscal year. These show that we are currently $2.9 Million behind on our collections and are attempting to cut this by about 2/3 by the end of the fiscal year. It is important to our overall financials for FY 02/03 that we bring this closer to balance by next Fiscal Year End, and our recommended recovery factors are based on this. Attachments #2 and #3 show our current annual projections for Natural Gas supply costs and LP historical FYTD costs, respectively. Attachments #4 and #5 show the impact of these adjustment clause changes on our overall Natural and LP Gas rates, respectively. Finally, Attachment #6 shows the history of our Residential rates and the adjustments back to October 2000. I should point out that the overall effect is that our tvpical Residential customer rates are still 37% lower than electric for Natural Gas and 16% lower for LP. It is our plan to use the above-proposed adjustments for billings through March 31, 2003, unless there is a significant change in our forecasts or we project a significant over/under recovery of our adjustment clauses. We Will continue to track these balances monthly, make monthly projections of these factors based on market conditions, and let you know if any of these get significantly out of balance. Bill, I would appreciate your approval of these revised adjustment rates so we can get this information to CCS in order to make the appropriate adjustments in the billing formulas in ! time for the February 3rd billings. If you have any questions on this, please call me. CSW /csw Attachme~ Approved: · ~ 18.)J.~-:II. 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N ;;; ~ a> :!i ... .; ~ ~ ~ o N 1ii C> g '" '" ... ,,; a> ... ::: " ... ... .. ... ... g 2 '" '" " o :::; '" '" ,5 e o :; '" 11 N -' ~ o .- I I Propane Inventory and Weighted Cost of Gas (WACOG) 2/6/2003 Attachment #3 LP Supplied by: Sea-3 of Florida Suburban Propane comDanvl Gallons Propane Propane Shipping Total FYTD Cost of Tank Tank WACOG Date Invoice # Delivered Rate Cost Cost Cost Gallons Inventorv Inventorv Wlthdrawl I I I I 09/30/02 $ 29,193.34 57,611 0.50673 I 10/17/02 Resources1200210-6157 27,439 0.59294 $ 16,269.69 Intearated $ 16,269.69 27,439.0 $ 45,463.03 65,050 0.53454 10/17/02 Sea.3 4002-0737 9,600 0.59533 $ 5,524.51 $ 190.61 $ 5,715.12 37,039.0 $ 51,176.15 94,650 0.54071 10/31/02 inv adiustment 306 0.64605 $ 197.69 &: 51,375.64 94,956 0.54105 10/31/02 End of month 29,966.21 55,369 39,567 0.54105 11/14/02 Resources 200211.6446 90,000 aal call ootion ll!! 2.75ct premium Dec-Feb\ $ 2,475.00 $ 32,443.21 55,369 0.58573 11/17/02 Resources 200211-6463 9,133 0.60334 $ 5,510.31 Intearated $ 5,510.31 46,172.0 $ 37,953.52 64,522 0.58822 11/20/02 Sea-3 4002-0633 16,002 0.60573 $ 10,546.63 $ 357.44 $ 10,904.27 64,174.0 $ 46,657.79 62,524 0.59204 11/21/02 Suburban 612540 2,275.5 0.62600 $ 1,424.46 N/A $ 1,424.46 66,449.5 $ 50,262.25 64,600 0.59295 11/22/02 Suburban 533546 2,022.0 0.63900 $ 1,292.06 N/A $ 1,292.06 66,471.5 $ 51,574.31 66,622 0.59403 11/30/02 inv adiustment 136 - $ . $ - $ - 66,471.5 $ 51,574.31 66,960 0.59308 11/30/02 End of month .~ $ 24,074.64 40,593 46,367 0.59308 12/10/02 Suburban 622716 2,227 0.64900 $ 1,445.39 N/A $ 1,445.39 70.696.6 $ 25,520.23 42,620 0.59599 12/11/02 Suburban 662717 2,015 0.64900 $ 1,307.99 N/A $ 1,307.99 72,714.0 $ 26,626.22 44,635 0.59837 12/12/02 Suburban 752401 2,412 0.66000 $ 1.591.99 N/A $ 1,591.99 75,126.1 $ 26,420.21 47,247 0.60152 12/13/02 Suburban 662716 1.607 0.64900 $ 1.043.07 N/A $ 1,043.07 76,733.3 $ 29,463.26 46,655 0.60308 12/14/02 Suburban 662719 2,346 0.64900 $ 1,522.49 N/A $ 1,522.49 79,079.2 $ 30,965.77 51,200 0.60519 12/12/02 Resources 200212-6645 9,601 0.60394 $ 5,798.42 Integrated $ 5,798.42 66,660.2 $ 36,764.19 60,601 0.60499 12/13/02 Resources 200212-6634 9,103 0.60394 $ 5,497.67 Inteorated $ 5,497.67 97,763.2 $ 42,261.66 69,904 0.60485 12/14/02 Sea-3 4002-0912 19,576 0.60642 $ 11,460.74 $ 390.55 $ 11.671.29 117,359.2 $ 54,153.15 69,460 0.60520 12/31/03 Resources 200302-9019 I 18,266 0.60394 $ 11,032.76 Intearated $ 11,032.76 135,627.2 $ 65.165.93 107,746 0.60498 12/31/02 inv adiustment I 439 0.90574 $ - $ - $ 397.62 117,359.2 $ 65,563.55 106,167 0.60620 12/31/02 End of month $ 28,082.61 46,325 61,662 0.60620 01/12/03 Resources 200301-9237 16,267 0.67924 $ 12,407.66 Intearated $ 12,407.66 135,626.2 $ 40,490.29 64,592 0.62686 01/13/03 refund - - $ (720.54\ 135,626.2 $ 39,769.75 64,592 0.61570 01/15/03 Sea-3 4003.0053 19,240 0.68191 $ 12,732.45 $ 387.50 $ 13,119.95 135,626.2 $ 52,669.70 63,632 0.63090 01/21/03 Su burban 862720 2,199 0.71600 $ 1,574.20 N/A $ 1,574.20 135,626.2 $ 54,463.90 66,031 0.63307 01/23/03 Suburban 662721 1,976 0.75900 $ 1,500.01 N/A $ 1,500.01 135,626.2 $ 55,963.91 66,007 0.63590 FYTD Totals 178,192 0.63515 $ 109502.74 $ 1 326.10 $ 113178.61 Page 1 of 1 :3: .... 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I- I Attachment #6 I I I I I I I I I Residential Rate History By Components Clearwater Gas System I I I Total Rate ComDonentslTherm Contract LP Month NG/therm LP/qallon ECA EIA WNA PGA PGA PGA/aallon Oct-OO $ 1.290 $ 1.601 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 0.600 $ 0.510 $ 0.800 Nov-OO $ 1.320 $ 1.651 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 0.630 $ 0.540 $ 0.850 Dec-OO $ 1 .430 $ 1.651 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 0.740 $ 0.650 $ 0.850 Jan-01 $ 1.890 $ 1.801 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 1.200 $ 1.110 $ 1.000 Feb-01 $ 1.890 $ 1.901 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 1.200 $ 1.110 $ 1.100 Mar-01 $ 1.890 $ 1.901 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 1.200 $ 1.110 $ 1.100 Apr-01 $ 1.670 $ 1.691 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 0.980 $ 0.895 $ 0.890 May-01 $ 1.580 $ 1.620 $ 0.120 $ - $ - $ 0.880 $ 0.795 $ 0.810 Jun-01 $ 1.500 $ 1.578 $ 0.140 $ - $ - $ 0.780 $ 0.695 $ 0.750 Jul-01 $ 1.420 $ 1.516 $ 0.160 $ - $ - $ 0.680 $ 0.595 $ 0.670 Aug-01 $ 1.390 $ 1.445 $ 0.180 $ - $ - $ 0.630 $ 0.545 $ 0.580 Seo-01 $ 1.340 $ 1 .433 $ 0.200 :5 - i... - :5 0.560 $ 0.540 s;- 0.550 FY Average $ 1.551 $ 1.649 $ 0.131 $ - $ - $ 0.840 $ 0.758 $ 0.829 2000 A vg. $ 1.222 $ 1.584 $ 0.103 $ 0.003 $ 0.010 $ 0.527 $ 0.431 $ 0.779 Oct-01 $ 1.340 $ 1.380 $ 0.140 $ - $ - $ 0.620 $ 0.540 $ 0.550 Nov-01 $ 1.340 $ 1.380 $ 0.140 $ - $ - $ 0.620 $ 0.540 $ 0.550 Dec-01 $ 1.340 $ 1.380 $ 0.140 $ - $ - $ 0.620 $ 0.540 $ 0.550 Jan-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.390 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.020 $ 0.600 $ 0.520 $ 0.520 Feb-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.390 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.020 $ 0.600 $ 0.520 $ 0.520 Mar-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.420 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.040 $ 0.580 $ 0.500 $ 0.520 Apr-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.420 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.040 $ 0.580 $ 0.500 $ 0.520 May-02 $ 1.340 $ 1.550 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.040 $ 0.560 $ 0.480 $ 0.550 Jun-02 $ 1.340 $ 1.550 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.040 $ 0.560 $ 0.480 $ 0.550 Jul-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.620 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.040 $ 0.580 $ 0.500 $ 0.620 Aug-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.690 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.040 $ 0.580 $ 0.500 $ 0.690 Seo-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.690 $ 0.160 L....: $ 0.040 $ 0.580 $ 0.500 $ 0.690 FY Average 1.352 1.488 0.155 - 0.027 0.590 0.510 0.569 2001 Avg. $ 1.549 $ 1.586 $ 0.138 $ - $ - $ 0.831 $ 0.751 $ 0.758 Oct-02 $ 1.300 $ 1.640 $ 0.100 $ - $ - $ 0.620 $ 0.550 $ 0.740 Nov-02 $ 1.300 $ 1.640 $ 0.100 $ - $ - $ 0.620 $ 0.550 $ 0.740 Dec-02 $ 1.300 $ 1.640 $ 0.100 $ - $ - $ 0.620 $ 0.550 $ 0.740 Jan-03 $ 1.420 $ 1.770 $ 0.120 $ - $ - $ 0.720 $ 0.650 $ 0.850 Feb-03 $ 1 .480 $ 1.810 $ 0.120 $ - $ - $ 0.780 $ 0.650 $ 0.890 Mar-03 Apr-03 May-03 Jun-03 Jul-03 Aug-03 Seo-03 FY Average 1.360 1.700 0.108 - - 0.672 0.590 0.792 2002 Avg. $ 1.342 $ 1.553 $ 0.145 $ - $ 0.027 $ 0.590 $ 0.513 $ 0.517 Incr. Above $ 0.120 $ 0.420 $ (0.040) $ - $(0.020) $ 0.180 $ 0.130 $ 0.370 Last Year Same Month 9% 30% -25% NA -100% 30% 25% 71% Incr. Based $ 5.40 $ 20.65 on 45 Therms 8% 28% Equivalent Cents/KWH 5.1 5.8 for Gas vs. FPC Rate 8.0 8.0 (Residential) Gas Cheaper bv -37% -16%