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GAS ADJUSTMENTS EFFECTIVE JANUARY 1, 2003 I I .. R'...~..,.'''. '~, [j ',', . ~"',. ll-. \"J ., ~\J"ED CLEARWA TER GAS SYSTEM Interoffice Correspondence Sheet JAN 0 2 lOO~ TO: FROM: William B. Horne II, City Manager Chuck Warrington, Managing Director " ~ CITY CLERK C~EPARTMENT COPIES: Garry Brumback, Assistant City Manager; Cyndie Goudeau, City Clerk; CGS & CCS Management Teams; Janet Dorrough, Sr. Accountant/CGS; Tom Madley, Sr. Accountant/CCS; Laura Damico, Sr. Accountant/CCS SUBJECT: GAS ADJUSTMENTS EFFECTIVE JANUARY 1, 2003 DATE: December 31 , 2002 Regrettably, world energy prices are on an upswing again, necessitating our request to increase our Natural and Propane (LP) Gas supply prices somewhat. We are recommending an increase of 10C/therm in our Natural Gas Purchased Gas Adjustments (PGA) and an increase in our LP PGA of 11 C/gallon in January. We are also recommending a slight increase in our Energy Conservation Adjustment (ECA) of 2 C per therm and gallon in order to keep up with the continuing builders market. We are recommending that we continue to not collect any Environmental Imposition Adjustment (EIA) as our balance for this is still positive. The net effect of these recommended changes is an increase in our typical Residential Natural Gas customer's rate of 12C/therm (up 9.2%) and an increase in our typical Residential LP customer's rate of 13C/gallon (up 7.9%). These rates are still 25% and 7%, respectively, below those of the winter of 2001 when rates spiked. Therefore, we are recommending your approval of the following rates to become effective for billings rendered on and after January 1, 2003: Natural Gas Firm Standard Rate Schedule PGA ....... $0.720 per therm (up 10.0C/therm) Natural Gas Interruptible and Contract (Non-Standard) Rate Schedule PGA ............. $0.650 per therm (up 10.0C/therm) Propane (LP) Gas Rate Schedule PGA .................... $0.850 per gallon (up 11.0C/gallon) = $0.929 per therm equivalent (up 12.0C/therm) Energy Conservation Adjustment (ECA) ............... $0.120 per therm (up 2.0C/therm) & $0.120 per gallon of LP (up 2.0C/gal.) Environmental Imposition Adjustment (EIA) ......... $0.000 per therm (no change) and $0.000 per gallon of LP (no change) William B. Horne II, City Ma~ager Page 2 I December 31, 2002 Weather Normalization Adjustment (WNA) .......... $0.000 per therm (no change) & $0.000 per gallon of LP (no change) Attachment #1 shows the current status of our Adjustment Recovery Clause balances with actuals thru November and projections thru the end of the fiscal year. These show that we are currently $3.1 Million behind on our collections and are attempting to close this by more than half by the end of the fiscal year. It is important to our overall financials for FY 02/03 that we bring this closer to balance by next Fiscal Year End, and our recommended recovery factors are based on this. Attachments #2 and #3 show our current annual projections for Natural Gas supply costs and LP historical FYTD costs, respectively. Attachments #4 and #5 show the impact of these adjustment clause changes on our overall Natural and LP Gas rates, respectively. Finally, Attachment #6 shows the history of our Residential rates and the adjustments back to October 2000. I should point out that the overall effect is that our typical Residential customer rates are still 40% lower than electric for Natural Gas and 18% lower for LP. It is our plan to use the above-proposed adjustments for billings through March 31, 2003, unless there is a significant change in our forecasts or we project a significant over/under recovery of our adjustment clauses. We will continue to track these balances monthly, make monthly projections of these factors based on market conditions, and let you know if any of these get significantly out of balance. Bill, I would appreciate your approval of these revised adjustment rates so we can get this information to CCS in order to make the appropriate adjustments in the billing formulas in time for the January 1 st billings. If you have any questions on this, please call me. 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V N~ '" '" g;' M '" ~ :i N g ~ ~ 1ii ~ lD re ci :;: ~~ Z; -' ~ o .... I .f Til1-C If /Jll!AJ T -#:> Propane Inventory and Weighted Cost of Gas (WACOG) 12/30/2002 LP Supplied by: Sea-3 of Florida Suburban Propane comnanv! Gallons Propane Propane Shipping Total FYTD Cost of Tank Tank WACOG Date Invoice # Delivered Rate Cost Cost Cost Gallons Inventorv Inventorv Withdrawl I I I I T 9/30/02 if $ 29,193.34 57,611 0.50673 J/17/02 Resources 200210-8157 27,439 0.59294 $ 16,269.69 Inteorated $ 16,269.69 27,439.0 $ 45,463.03 85,050 0.53454 J/17/02 Sea-3 4002-0737 9,600 0.59533 $ 5,524.51 $ 190.61 $ 5,715.12 37,039.0 $ 51,178.15 94,650 0.54071 J/31/02 inv adjustment 306 0.64605 $ 197.69 37.039.0 $ 51,375.84 94,956 0.54105 J/31/02 End of month ;~ , '0 $ 29,968.21 65,389 39,567 0.54105 .. 1/14/02 Resources 200211-8446 90,000 nal call ontion lID 2.75ct oremium Dec-Febl $ 2,475.00 $ 32,443.21 55,389 0.58573 1/17/02 Resources 200211-8483 9,133 0.60334 $ 5,510.31 Intearated $ 5,510.31 46,172.0 $ 37,953.52 64,522 0.58822 1/20/02 Sea-3 4002-0833 18,002 0.60573 $ 10,546.83 $ 357.44 $ 10,904.27 64,174.0 $ 48,857.79 82,524 0.59204 1/21/02 Suburban 612540 2.275.5 0.62600 $ 1,424.46 N/A $ 1,424.46 66,449.5 $ 50,282.25 84,800 0.59295 1/22/02 Suburban 533546 2,022.0 0.63900 $ 1,292.06 N/A $ 1,292.06 68,471.5 $ 51,574.31 86,822 0.59403 1/30/02 invadiustment 138 - S - $ - $ - Riit : 51,574.31 86,960 0.59308 1/30/02 End of month :t ,- 24,074.84 40,593 46,367 0.59308 U10/02 Suburban 822716 2,227 0.64900 $ 1,445.39 N/A $ 1,445.39 70,698.6 $ 25,520.23 42,820 0.59599 U11/02 Suburban 882717 2.015 0.64900 $ 1.307.99 N/A $ 1,307.99 72,714.0 $ 26,828.22 44.835 0.59837 !/12/02 Suburban 752401 2,412 . N/A $ - 75.126.1 $ 26,828.22 47,247 0.56783 !/13/02 Suburban 882718 1,607 0.64900 $ 1,043.07 N/A $ 1,043.07 76,733.3 $ 27,871.29 48,855 0.57050 !/14/02 Suburban 882719 2,346 0.64900 $ 1,522.49 N/A $ 1,522.49 79,079.2 $ 29,393.78 51,200 0.57409 !/12/02 Resources 200212.8845 9,601 0.60394 $ 5,798.42 Inteorated $ 5,798.42 88,680.2 $ 35,192.20 60,801 0.57881 U13/02 Resources 200212.8834 9,103 0.60394 $ 5,497.67 Inteorated $ 5,497.67 97,783.2 $ 40,689.87 69,904 0.58208 ~/14/02 Sea-3 4002-0912 19,576 0.60633 $ 11,480.74 i$f.i!lalm~ $ 11,869.43 117.359.2 $ 52,559.30 89,480 0.58738 'TO Totals 117,803 0.61351 $ 68 663.63 $ 936.74 $ 72,273.06 ;jf; 'E Q) E \.c: " :g ~ <n 0:: o I- o <( U. I- Z W (I)~ o::~ 0'" I-~ U<n <e~ u..'-' C :iECl~ ~Zo ~::ig: <n..JD.. <n-<( ~m~ o::Wc ~~I-m <( <( 3: lD 0::(1)2 U5<e:;: i3 Cl M- ..JJ: ~~ ::J:iE 1-' <e8 z~ ~ 0:: <( ::l Z <( .., 0:: o U. 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Attachment #6 - I I - Residential Rate History By Components Clearwater Gas System I I Total Rate Components/Therm Contract LP Month NG/therm LP/Qallon ECA EIA WNA PGA PGA PGA/Qallon Oct-OO $ 1.290 $ 1.601 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 0.600 $ 0.510 $ 0.800 Nov-OO $ 1.320 $ 1.651 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 0.630 $ 0.540 $ 0.850 Dec-OO $ 1.430 $ 1.651 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 0.740 $ 0.650 $ 0.850 Jan-01 $ 1.890 $ 1.801 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 1.200 $ 1.110 $ 1.000 Feb-01 $ 1.890 $ 1.901 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 1.200 $ 1.110 $ 1.100 Mar-01 $ 1.890 $ 1.901 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 1.200 $ 1.110 $ 1.100 Apr-01 $ 1.670 $ 1.691 $ 0.110 $ - $ - $ 0.980 $ 0.895 $ 0.890 May-01 $ 1.580 $ 1.620 $ 0.120 $ - $ - $ 0.880 $ 0.795 $ 0.810 Jun-01 $ 1.500 $ 1.578 $ 0.140 $ - $ - $ 0.780 $ 0.695 $ 0.750 Jul-01 $ 1.420 $ 1.516 $ 0.160 $ - $ - $ 0.680 $ 0.595 $ 0.670 Aug-01 $ 1.390 $ 1 .445 $ 0.180 $ - $ - $ 0.630 $ 0.545 $ 0.580 Sep-01 $ 1.340 $ 1 .433 $ 0.200 ~ - L....: :I) 0.560 $ 0.540 :I) 0.550 FY Average $ 1.551 $ 1.649 $ 0.131 $ - $ - $ 0.840 $ 0.758 $ 0.829 2000 Avg. $ 1.222 $ 1.584 $ 0.103 $ 0.003 $ 0.010 $ 0.527 $ 0.431 $ 0.779 Oct-01 $ 1.340 $ 1.380 $ 0.140 $ - $ - $ 0.620 $ 0.540 $ 0.550 Nov-01 $ 1.340 $ 1.380 $ 0.140 $ - $ - $ 0.620 $ 0.540 $ 0.550 Dec-01 $ 1.340 $ 1.380 $ 0.140 $ - $ - $ 0.620 $ 0.540 $ 0.550 Jan-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.390 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.020 $ 0.600 $ 0.520 $ 0.520 Feb-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.390 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.020 $ 0.600 $ 0.520 $ 0.520 Mar-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.420 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.040 $ 0.580 $ 0.500 $ 0.520 Apr-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.420 $ 0.160 $ - .... $ 0.040 $ 0.580 $ 0.500 $ 0.520 May-02 $ 1.340 $ 1.550 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.040 $ 0.560 $ 0.480 $ 0.550 Jun-02 $ 1.340 $ 1.550 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.040 $ 0.560 $ 0.480 $ 0.550 Jul-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.620 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.040 $ 0.580 $ 0.500 $ 0.620 Aug-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.690 $ 0.160 $ - $ 0.040 $ 0.580 $ 0.500 $ 0.690 Sep-02 $ 1.360 $ 1.690 $ 0.160 .L....: $ 0.040 $ 0.580 $ 0.500 $ 0.690 FY Average 1.352 1.488 0.155 - 0.027 0.590 0.510 0.569 2001 Avg. $ 1.549 $ 1.586 $ 0.138 $ - $ - $ 0.831 $ 0.751 $ 0.758 Oct-02 $ 1.300 $ 1.640 $ 0.100 $ - $ - $ 0.620 $ 0.550 $ 0.740 Nov-02 $ 1.300 $ 1.640 $ 0.100 $ - $ - $ 0.620 $ 0.550 $ 0.740 Dec-02 $ 1.300 $ 1.640 $ 0.100 $ - $ - $ 0.620 $ 0.550 $ 0.740 Jan-03 $ 1.420 $ 1.770 $ 0.120 $ - $ - $ 0.720 $ 0.650 $ 0.850 Feb-03 Mar-03 Apr-03 May-03 Jun-03 Jul-03 Aug-03 Sep-03 FY Average 1.330 1.673 0.105 - - 0.645 0.575 0.768 2002 Avg. $ 1.342 $ 1.553 $ 0.145 $ - $ 0.027 $ 0.590 $ 0.513 $ 0.617 Incr. Above $ 0.060 $ 0.380 $ (0.040) $ - $ (0.020) $ 0.120 $ 0.130 $ 0.330 Last Year .' Same Month 4% 27% -25% NA .. -100% 20% 25% 63% Incr. Based $ 2.70 $ 18.69 on 45 Therms 4% 25% - Equivalent Cents/KWH 4.8 6.6 for Gas vs. FPC Rate 8.0 8.0 (Residential) Gas Cheaper by -40% -18%