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GAS ADJUSTMENTS EFFECTIVE JULY 1, 2002 I I Jut {) 1 2002 CLEARWA TER GAS SYSTEM Interoffice Correspondence Sheet "'1'1"\1 ("I 1"".....':, , ' .', .,J, i ,I..,. TO: William B. Horne II, City Manager ~ FROM: Chuck Warrington, Managing Director rJ/J COPIES: Garry Brumback, Assistant City Manager; Cyndie Goudeau, City Clerk; CGS & CCS Management Teams; Janet Dorrough, Sr. Accountant/CGS; Tom Madley, Sr. Accountant/CCS; Laura Damico, Sr. Accountant/CCS SUBJECT: GAS ADJUSTMENTS EFFECTIVE JULY 1, 2002, & AUGUST 1, 2002 DATE: June 27, 2002 Natural Gas supply prices have increased somewhat. Therefore, we are recommending an increase of 2 <::/thermin our Natural Gas Purchased Gas Adjustments (PGA) for July. Propane (LP) Gas supply prices have also increased, and we are behind in our PGA collections in this area. Therefore, we are recommending a 7 <::/gallon increase in both July and August in our LP PGA to bring this in line with LP supply recovery. As you know, we experienced an extremely mild winter this year. At this point we can finalize the effect of this shortfall in Heating Degree Days of 25 % for the year. The recommended final Weather Normalization Clause (WNA) recovery is $538,841, which represents the estimated Non-Fuel Energy (NFE) for the fiscal year. Therefore, we are recommending your approval of this final WNA figure and maintaining our current 4<:: per therm and gallon WNA for the remainder of the fiscal year. This should allow us to recover this by the end of September. We are not recommending changes to any of our other Adjustment clauses at this time. Therefore, we are recommending your approval of the following rates to become effective for billings rendered on and after July 1, 2002: Natural Gas Firm Standard Rate Schedule PGA ....... $0.580 per therm (up 2.0<::/therm) Natural Gas Interruptible and Contract (Non-Standard) Rate Schedule PGA ............. $0.500 per therm (up 2.0<::/therm) Propane (LP) Gas Rate Schedule PGA .................... $0.620 per gallon (up 7.0<::/gallon) = $0.678 per therm equivalent (up 7.7 <::/therm) Energy Conservation Adjustment (ECA) ............... $0.160 per therm (no change) and $0.160 per gallon of LP (no change) Environmental Imposition Adjustment (EIA) ......... $0.000 per therm (no change) and $0.000 per gallon of LP (no change) 2 / '-- I 0:2- ~o 2 1 William B. Horne II, City Manager Page 2 [ June 27, 2002 Weather Normalization Adjustment (WNA) .......... $0.040 per therm (no change) & $0.040 per gallon of LP (no change) Additionally, we are recommending your approval of the following single rate change to become effective for billings rendered on and after August 1, 2002 (all other rates will remain unchanged): Propane (LP) Gas Rate Schedule PGA .................... $0.690 per gallon (up 7.0C::/gallon) = $0.754 per therm equivalent (up 7.6C::/therm) Attachment #1 shows the current status of our Adjustment Recovery Clause balances with actuals thru May and projections thru September. These show that we are about $1.5 Million behind FYTD including WNA, and we are projecting recovering $600,000 of this shortfall by the end of the fiscal year. It is important to our overall financials that we get this closer to balance by Fiscal Year End. Attachments #2 and #3 show our current annual projections for Natural Gas supply costs and LP historical FYTD costs, respectively. Attachment # 4 shows our computation of the WNA shortfall. Attachments #5 and #6 show the impact of these adjustment clause changes on our overall Natural and LP Gas rates, respectively. Finally, Attachment #7 shows the impact of the proposed August LP PGA adjustment clause change on our overall LP Gas rates. I should point out that the overall continued impact of this on our Residential customers is a 28% reduction from our peak winter rates last year (15% lower for LP). Our average customer will likely see an overall savings on their typical July bill of $1.50/month below last July based on 25 therms/month, which is our average monthly residential customer consumption, but $2.84 higher for our typical LP customer). It is our plan to use the above-proposed adjustments for billings through September 30, 2002, unless there is a significant change in our forecasts or we project an over/under recovery in excess of the thresholds as prescribed in our rate ordinance. We will continue to track these balances monthly, make monthly projections of these factors based on market conditions, and let you know if any of these get significantly out of balance. Bill, I would appreciate your approval of these revised adjustment rates so that we can get this information to CCS in order to make the appropriate adjustments in the billing formulas in time for the July 1 st billings. If you have any questions on this, please call me. 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I I 11 T T/<J C.~/+ nl &:fJ I" *.5 Page 1 of 1 Propane Inventory and Weighted Cost of Gas (WACOG) 6/25/2002 LP Supplied by: Sea-3 of Florida Suburban Propane Date $ 30,590,81 09/30/01 10/16/01 Sea-3 ,4001:,1..10.2, 28,fl2_2Q14,'!:i74.8 .??/?.?..?.D.Q,gQJ61 10/28/01 :Res.ources~200110:5420,9~100_0-.. ,..._Q:,'!8510A,'!!'!}.9:iiB1.9. 0.50.0.0.9 ~~1~~j~n-::"f~~cl9~~~~~it:-.~::l~J1i;:i~\.mThil~~i"t%'ri.. I $ 30,123.33 3~1 ~::~~;D 11/09/01 '.'rl3~~.c>~rc.,,~?og.11!.::5~!6-+.. no.:~~~~!:~nc~~mjum adju~ent - cap c,!?s!s '$___~~p.g..+.._~7,79~-i.!._~.!il.~?':J~.~.._6g,2?li Q.53g~2 11/19/01 ._iB.~.s.()~~~Ol1.1.:?~?_+ 27,008 " 044923 $ 12,132.87 Inte rated $ 12,132.87 64,805.0 $ 44,101.20 87,289 t' 0.50523 11/30/01 iResources1200112-5683 . 8.999 0.39168 $ 3.524,69 Inte rated i $ 3,524.69 73,804.0 $ 47,625.89. 96,288 : y. 0.494621 ; ~:~~:~~ . .,..I~i::.~x_~~fE~~~-~~~.i';;-~~~~~O '~;;:i~~1;.I~~m1!Mti]~_~~~1.i?tii'tjh~i1i~~i~r},li~:;_;;;~;~~~+:-~::;:.:;,}:'~:~4g!.72~-+-- :~.{l~:~r' 12/20/01 i Se.a-3 L,!QO 1.:.!..?8!J_l_ ..?!,El?.?.,j.____Qc1.!.~1~_1.L..!QL!J8.i~~J_L_~!!,j~LL-1-b~-9.~,'!.1.~._!0 1, 77?.Q.l.L 39,0~.Q:.1.LJ-~32 L___._~-_Q'-4~736j 12/23/01,R.es.ou.rce~2.0.o 1.,l.2,59.4.?c. .1.8..1QQ..Q10~(j!J .;1 n_7...~7:?L c ~nt~a~d" _~ 7,5'2,7'2,7 .._1?0,lX6cQ-..~_1?,5El7.3ilhl()1.,!J~,L.. 0.45685 12!24~01..,. i.R~sourc~s!?Q0112:5.9<1?, 92200 .04.0.890 j$3,761.88 . Integrated ,$ 3,761.88' 129,376.0. $ 50,329.26 111,132 ' 6.45288 12/26/01 :.~ub.urban ; .882710' 1..201 .9,1?:i00 L 1_fiEl?..?6~NI,l'. ,.~.~ ,??826 _,J3Q.2!?4ct n5Q,8!j!.!5..?L .... ,l.1.?....:J:J1.1 0.45309 1.2/~YOl :invadlus!rne'2t 400" $ . $ : $ 130,977.4 . $ 50.897.52: 112.734 ' 0.45148 . ::~~~.~i~~~:.'.__J~~cl~~~~~~~~~=:_ ,. 'i~0tt;;;~;~;;i' 'u ------.--..~--- "'i-'$n--- ... _n_._[ :"~~~'::::~ t. 'i;~:;'~~_~ ---- ~:~~~ ~~J )1/03/02 L~l,Jl?~~b.a_nL.2.!J1.!?.Q.?.j____.~2~ 0.49100 $ 1,146.83 N/A$ 1,146.83 133,310.1 $ 28,502.89 62,926 0.45296j Jl/09/0.2.i~.~b.u~"~T..n..882.?l4_____!.~~_0.49100 1$ 961.43 N/A _ $ _n 961.43 135,268.2 $ 29,464.32. 'n'__'.'._6~~"i_Q.45411 Jl/l0/Q? ..... ...:~.E'S.ClUr.<e~~200~0'!.:ig1.2._~..__J!,!Q~~gz~+L~~rated i $ 7,194.931 153,373.21 $ 36,659.25P2,989 i ._-+-_0.41173 Jl/16/02Suburban . 882713' 2,011, 0,49100: $ 987,25 : N/A . $ 987.25 155,383.9 $ 37,646.50; 84,999 . , 0.44290 ) 1/21/02 ''':S;~~3 .... "'r40Q2-0(j~li---T-'.__9.:13.5I=()~? 12.7.Ti___:i'~j__i:~-lii67'17!$'--4~22__35-1"--164~5-l8:g!}n'l1,76!385-r-'-'-S4, 1 ~4nT--"---"I"'" '0.'44'3"12 ;~fi;:~~....;~~:Cl~uf~~~it~0202'640~'f,t;\;~{3"~'~::lljzi:f'~~;j';j:%~i~~j.y~;;j;~~Kl:~tUB~;r~~j{~q~~~<~:Jdt__~~:;~~ii'1:':::=.~t:~:.:r::.__:Y;)~69'5 " '--~J~~~~ 12101/02 ,Resourc:eS!200?OJ.6405 ,18,200 039240: $ 7,141.68, Integrated $ 7,14168 192.,,2189' $ 25,99056 61,139 042510 12/20/02 iSuburba,n,: .882714 1,897 047600. $ 902.97 N/A $ 902.97 194,115.9, $ 26,893.54 63.036 0.42664 12/22/02 I Resourcesi200202-6725 18,006' 042.050 $ 7.571.53: Integr"ted ,$ 7.57153 212,121.9 $ 34,465.0781,042[ 0.429:?7 12/.?7/02 ,SubUrban 8_82715 2,21,L60,484(jD ; $ 1,070.41 N/A $ 1~D.70.41. 214,333:?, $ 35..?3.5c,,8;n, .?.3,25"r(),1~2!33; :t~~ii~L::.:.=!i~~~:~~~:::i3.~'~irr~;~~~:!r~~~;~r~: $ . 927.36 :~~;;rn't1f:;;;;l,!;,;';m;~;~~4t: ~!:;;~.;:+... -- :!:;:~"'42'6??"t_~t~~lfti '3/09/02..... ,. ,Suburban i 533488 2.111.5; 0,52900 1$ 1,116.98 I N/A ; $ 1,116.98, 218,829.8 $ 19,487.76 i 45,073 I r 0.43236; ".,. ..:..'..c...........__..'nn'n...n_.. .., .m.__~.._,___..___.""-l_..__ ..--+.....n...----.....T-- _..._,_.._ ".__~___n m_....m..... ,'...., .,.._, , '3/09/.02. .iR~s.01J.r:c~sl?.QQ?(j:J:?.!l.31.~_~69,g.+~'O.42240 I $ 7.716.83: Inte rated '$ 7,716.83 237,098.8 I $ 27,204.59 I 63,342 i H.:.4~93Q.J 3/2?/02~?ea.:.~...,.,,_f,'!.002.026~...L 28,535.0J.~4~.!l."4 11,989,55 $ ~g52218, ~65.633.8--j..L...39,726.7L' ~.9J...!l71-+...n~_0:.43?~9' 3/?-6/(j?- ..,RE!s()~r<::E!~?Q'O'?().3,71~~., 18.271 L... 0-,-422,,0_Ll._..UEEl.!l-+-I~~e2-J..l._.l..?_17:.~r~!l},.9Q1-.8.j..:t._4L-"-44:4?L..J.1.0....11B--i.,.,' .0..43073 , ;?1.2!/OL._.i~~.burban..l.__~~'!.~______!.El.1Z~~. 0.55100 i $ ._I.!?_D.:.!JZ+f'!!..A._.__.. ---J..1..__~"O'-'-~!L~5,5..?~:.!!_f.J__.48,3.~~<l5_+____1J!,7.El.?-+ .._ ..()::l~~'F i;~~~~~' '-:~~da;u-~~~~. 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PROJECTED MOD 10Yr HOD 10Yr THERMS Budoet OCTOBER 0.98 0.01 0.12 0.08 0,32 1.51 2 3 6.97% 1.51 NOVEMBER 1.04 0.07 0.14 0.08 0.32 1.65 21 39 7.66% 3.16 DECEMBER 1.12 0.26 0.16 0.08 0.33 1.95 76 112 9.05% 5.11 JANUARY 1.17 0.44 0.19 0.08 0.35 2.23 125 138 10.32% 7.34 FEBRUARY 1.16 0.43 0.18 0.08 0.35 2.20 122 105 10.17% 9.54 MARCH 1.30 0.29 0.17 0.08 0.35 2.19 82 58 10.12% 11.72 APRIL 1.35 0.12 0.16 0.08 0.35 2.06 35 11 9.54% 13.78 MAY 1.12 0.02 0.15 0.08 0.34 1.71 6 1 7.92% 15.49 JUNE 1.02 0.00 0.14 0.08 0.33 1.57 1 0 7.28% 17.06 JULY 0.98 0.00 0.13 0.08 0.32 1.51 0 0 6.99% 18.57 AUGUST 0.98 0,00 0.13 0.08 0.32 1.51 0 0 6.99% 20.08 SEPTEMBER 0.98 0.00 0.13 0.08 0.32 1.51 Q Q 6.99% 21.59 TOTAL 13.20 1.63 1.80 0.96 4.00 21.60 467 467 100.00% ACTUAL FY 01/02 THERM SALES IMILUONS) ACTUAL ACTUAL PINELLAS YS. PROJECTED. Ys.BUDGET MONTH BASE WEATHER PASCO GROWTH PIN. INTER. PROJECTED MOD HOD ACT.THERMS VARIANCE VARIANCE OCTOBER 0.98 0.01 0.13 0.08 0.30 1.50 5 9 1.39 .7.2% ~7.7% NOVEMBER 1.04 0.01 0.14 0.08 0.35 1.62 5 0 1.62 0.1% .2.0% DECEMBER 1.12 0.06 0.16 0.08 0.33 1.75 33 65 1.71 -2.4% .12.5% JANUARY 1.17 0.22 0.18 0.08 0.34 1.99 115 165 2.03 2.1% -8.9% FEBRUARY 1.16 0,25 0.16 0.08 0.38 2.03 133 100 2.02 ..0.6% -8.0% MARCH 1.30 0.14 0.21 0.08 0.36 2.09 72 43 2.21 6,0% 1.1% APRIL 1,35 0.04 0.15 0.08 0.36 1.98 22 0 1.80 -9.1% .12.7% MAY 1.12 0,00 0.14 0.08 0.34 1.68 0 0 1.54 .8.3% -10.0% JUNE JULY AUGUST SEPTEMBER TOTAL 9.24 0.73 1.27 0.64 2.76 14.64 382 382 14.32 -2.2% -7.6% BUD.YTD 05/02 9.24 1.63 1,27 0.64 2.71 15.49 467 467 15.49 YTD BUD.VAR. 0.00 I1l0iii!m-,o-l.i. 0.00 0.00 0.05 -0.86 -85 -85 .1.17 WNA Shortfall = 0.907 + 0.022 (LP Effect) 0.929 Equiy. Therms x $0.58 ti,S;!!!iil19M1Qll;!i. ~ FY 01/02 BUDGET LP GALLON PROJ.I1000's) ACTUAL FY 01102 LP GALLON SALES /THOUSANDS) %0' ANNUAL VARIANCE VARIANCE VARIANCE MONTH PINELLAS PASCO TOTAL GALLONS PINELLAS PASCO TOTAL PINELLAS PASCO TOTAL OCTOBER 27.0 13.0 40.0 6.96% 24.8 10.2 35.0 .2,2 .2.8 -5.0 NOVEMBER 29.0 14.0 43.0 7.48% 27.7 8.0 35.7 -1.3 -6.0 -7.3 DECEMBER 34.0 16.0 50.0 8.70% 32.7 12.8 45.5 .1.3 -3.2 -4.5 JANUARY 39.0 18.0 57.0 9.91% 46.1 11.6 57.7 7.1 -6.4 0.7 FEBRUARY 39.0 18.0 57.0 9.91% 34.2 10.9 45.1 -4.8 -7.1 -11.9 MARCH 38.0 18.0 56.0 9.74% 35.1 12.1 47.2 -2.9 .5.9 .8.8 APRIL 36.0 17.0 53.0 9.22% 35.5 11.3 46.8 .0.5 .5.7 -6.2 MAY 32.0 16.0 48.0 8,35% 32.5 10.3 42.8 0.5 -5.7 JUNE 30.0 15.0 45.0 7.83% 0.0 JULY 28.0 14.0 42.0 7.30% 0.0 AUGUST 28.0 14.0 42.0 7.30% 0.0 SEPTEMBER 28,0 14.0 42.0 7.30% 0.0 TOTAL 388.0 187.0 575.0 100.00% 268.6 87.2 355.8 -5.4 -42.8 -43.0 U:\My DocumentsIEXCELUndicatorslFY_01_02\{Therms & Gallons Projections YS Actuals YTD.xJs]FY 01-02 Budget lI) ~ .... c .. 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